Research Article

Species Favourability Shift in Europe due to Climate Change: A Case Study for Fagus sylvatica L. and Picea abies (L.) Karst. Based on an Ensemble of Climate Models

Figure 7

Shift of distribution of Fagus sylvatica ((a), (c), and (e)) and Picea abies ((b), (d), and (f)) expressed as difference of density distribution of the SDM ensemble in reference to time slice 1971–2000. White dots in (a) and (b) are beech respective spruce occurrences in the learning data. Density distribution in (c) and (d) underlies an ensemble of 20 respective 21 members, whereas the ensemble of (e) and (f) consists of only 15 members.
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(a) Density 1971–2000
787250.fig.007b
(b) Density 1971–2000
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(c) Density shift 2021–2050
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(d) Density shift 2021–2050
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(e) Density shift 2071–2100
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(f) Density shift 2071–2100