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Abstract and Applied Analysis
Volume 2013 (2013), Article ID 282394, 9 pages
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2013/282394
Research Article

Dynamical Behavior of a Rumor Transmission Model with Psychological Effect in Emergency Event

1Business School, University of Shanghai for Science and Technology, Shanghai 200093, China
2Department of Computer and Engineering, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200240, China
3College of Economics and Management, Shanghai JiaoTong University, Shanghai 200052, China

Received 17 September 2013; Revised 13 November 2013; Accepted 13 November 2013

Academic Editor: Massimiliano Ferrara

Copyright © 2013 Liang'an Huo et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Abstract

A rumor transmission model with nonmonotonic incidence rate was proposed, which provides excellent explanations of the “psychological” effect with rumor spreading in emergency event. By carrying out a global analysis of the model and studying the stability of the rumor-free equilibrium and the rumor-endemic equilibrium, we showed that either the number of infective individuals tends to zero as time evolves or the rumor persists. Finally, recommendations for policy makers and consulting advice for related commissions are explored in the case study of crazy rumors propagated for the iodized sail shortage panic in China.