Research Article
Short-Term Wind Speed Forecasting Using Decomposition-Based Neural Networks Combining Abnormal Detection Method
Table 2
Performance comparison according to data collected from different seasons and from different stations.
| Category | HEN1 | HEN2 | NAR | 53H-NAR | EEMD-NAR | Persist | ARIMA | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MAPE | RMSE | MAE | MEPE |
| Jan. | 0.51 | 0.37 | 12.97% | 0.48 | 0.33 | 11.45% | 0.69 | 0.50 | 17.22% | 0.71 | 0.51 | 17.61% | 0.48 | 0.34 | 12.28% | 0.72 | 0.52 | 18.06% | 0.70 | 0.51 | 17.55% | Apr. | 1.17 | 0.82 | 10.53% | 0.99 | 0.74 | 10.22% | 1.50 | 1.07 | 14.23% | 1.55 | 1.06 | 13.85% | 1.08 | 0.78 | 11.09% | 1.56 | 1.09 | 14.23% | 1.57 | 1.11 | 14.42% | Jul. | 0.78 | 0.56 | 9.30% | 0.65 | 0.47 | 7.96% | 1.02 | 0.74 | 11.92% | 1.09 | 0.75 | 11.44% | 0.68 | 0.49 | 8.59% | 1.05 | 0.72 | 11.31% | 1.07 | 0.74 | 11.59% | Oct. | 0.68 | 0.49 | 5.88% | 0.61 | 0.44 | 5.19% | 1.46 | 0.81 | 9.53% | 1.00 | 0.71 | 8.63% | 0.64 | 0.46 | 5.93% | 0.97 | 0.68 | 8.22% | 0.96 | 0.69 | 8.19% | Station 1 | 0.67 | 0.49 | 8.78% | 0.64 | 0.47 | 8.60% | 1.14 | 0.80 | 14.03% | 1.20 | 0.82 | 14.11% | 0.66 | 0.48 | 9.30% | 1.10 | 0.76 | 13.35% | 1.11 | 0.76 | 13.48% | Station 2 | 0.88 | 0.67 | 11.93% | 0.78 | 0.55 | 10.13% | 1.35 | 0.80 | 14.27% | 1.11 | 0.77 | 13.73% | 0.84 | 0.59 | 10.87% | 1.09 | 0.77 | 14.17% | 1.09 | 0.78 | 14.07% | Station 3 | 0.81 | 0.54 | 8.30% | 0.64 | 0.47 | 7.39% | 1.03 | 0.74 | 11.38% | 0.96 | 0.68 | 10.80% | 0.67 | 0.49 | 8.26% | 1.04 | 0.74 | 11.35% | 1.03 | 0.74 | 11.27% |
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