A New Method for Short Multivariate Fuzzy Time Series Based on Genetic Algorithm and Fuzzy Clustering

Table 2

The comparison of the forecasting results between the new method and other methods for yearly car accident casualties in Belgium from 1974 to 2004.

Years	Actual killed	Jilani and Burney (2008) method 1	Jilani and Burney (2008) method 2	Lee et al. (2007)	Egrioglu et al. (2009)	The new method
1974	1574	—	—	—	—	—
1975	1460	—	—	—	—	—
1976	1536	—	—	—	—	—
1977	1597	1497	1497	1500	1600	1593
1978	1644	1497	1497	1500	1600	1616
1979	1572	1497	1497	1500	1600	1567
1980	1616	1598	1497	1500	1600	1621
1981	1564	1598	1497	1500	1600	1567
1982	1464	1498	1497	1500	1500	1458
1983	1479	1498	1497	1500	1500	1462
1984	1369	1398	1497	1500	1400	1353
1985	1308	1298	1396	1400	1300	1335
1986	1456	1498	1296	1300	1500	1458
1987	1390	1398	1497	1500	1400	1389
1988	1432	1398	1396	1400	1400	1452
1989	1488	1498	1396	1400	1500	1470
1990	1574	1598	1497	1500	1600	1567
1991	1471	1498	1497	1500	1500	1459
1992	1380	1398	1497	1500	1400	1370
1993	1346	1298	1396	1400	1300	1337
1994	1415	1398	1296	1300	1400	1435
1995	1228	1198	1396	1400	1200	1222
1996	1122	1098	1095	1100	1100	1169
1997	1150	1198	1196	1200	1200	1173
1998	1224	1198	1196	1200	1200	1215
1999	1173	1198	1196	1200	1200	1171
2000	1253	1298	1296	1300	1300	1273
2001	1288	1298	1296	1300	1300	1325
2002	1145	1098	1095	1100	1100	1173
2003	1035	997	995	1000	1000	1024
2004	953	997	995	1000	1000	1010
MSE	—	2188	7333	7285	978	445
MAPE	—	2.72	5.25	5.24	2.17	1.28

Source: except for the last column and the last two rows the table is replicated from [13].