Towards Direct Simulation of Future Tropical Cyclone Statistics in a High-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model

Figure 9

Average number of tropical storms with wind in excess of 33 knots during the August–November period simulated in fvCAM2.2. The “present” ensemble is forced with 1990–1999 sea surface conditions. The “future” ensemble is forced with sea surface conditions representative of the SRES A1B scenario at the end of the 21st century. The error bars represent the inter-realization standard error for each ensemble. G: global, NH: Northern Hemisphere, SH: Southern Hemisphere, NP: North Pacific basin, NA: North Atlantic basin, SP: South Pacific basin, I: Indian Ocean.