Figure 5: Temperature projections for Svalbard Airport/Longyearbyen: results from ESD and RCM downscalings for winter, spring, summer, and autumn. The hatched area (pink) shows 5% and 95% interval from ESD estimates, the black dots show observed values, and the thick line (red) show median (50%) value for the ESD ensemble. The coloured symbols indicate the median value for the different runs with NorACIA-RCM, and the vertical lines show the 5- and 95-percentiles for the RCM runs. The RCM values are plotted on the central year in the respective time slices. For acronyms, see Table 5.