529064.fig.0010a
(a)
529064.fig.0010b
(b)
Figure 10: Probability of the simulations from 2000 to 2010 being within ±1 standard deviations of the mean satellite-detected ice-on/off dates for each grid cell. Empty grid cells corresponded to areas where either no lakes were identified using the filtered MODIS product or no probabilities were determined due to an incomplete data record (only grid cells with a complete 11-year satellite record were used).