480210.fig.001a
(a) Temperature forecasts
480210.fig.001b
(b) Temperature forecasts
480210.fig.001c
(c) Precipitation forecasts
480210.fig.001d
(d) Precipitation forecasts
Figure 1: (a) Mean confidence score for the temperature forecasts (markers; lines are smoothed based on local linear regression with a bandwidth of 24 months). (b) Mean information skill score for the temperature forecasts, (c)-(d) same as (a)-(b), but for precipitation forecasts. The color scheme is blue for the CPC forecast, green for the Trend forecast, and red for the Combined forecast.