Information Content of Seasonal Forecasts in a Changing Climate
Figure 1
(a) Mean confidence score for the temperature forecasts (markers; lines are smoothed based on local linear regression with a bandwidth of 24 months). (b) Mean information skill score for the temperature forecasts, (c)-(d) same as (a)-(b), but for precipitation forecasts. The color scheme is blue for the CPC forecast, green for the Trend forecast, and red for the Combined forecast.