Research Article
Scenario-Based Analysis on the Structural Change of Land Uses in China
Table 3
The economic growth under the CES scenario in 2008–2100 (unit: %).
| | 2008~2010 | 2011~2015 | 2016~2020 | 2021~2025 | 2026~2030 | 2031~2040 | 2041~2050 | 2051~2075 | 2076~2100 |
| GDP growth | 8.7 | 7.0 | 5.7 | 5.1 | 4.3 | 3.5 | 2.8 | 2.6 | 2.3 | Labor growth | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | −0.3 | −0.3 | −0.4 | −0.5 | −0.8 | Capital growth | 12.6 | 9.2 | 6.9 | 6.1 | 4.9 | 4.2 | 3.4 | 2.5 | 1.8 | TFP growth | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.9 |
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