A Hidden Markov Model Applied to the Daily Spring Precipitation over the Danube Basin

Table 4

Fitting by NHMM with seven states of precipitation at the 19 stations, taking into account as predictors the first summary variable of the SVD decomposition of SLP and geopotential at 850 hPa and NHMM with different states, with 10 and 3 predictors of CWTs.

Predictors	Proportion of correlation	Np	log𝐿	BIC
SVD-SLP	0.61	586	−123346	251559
SVD-850 hPa	0.65	586	−123267	251402
CWT 10/7 S	—	586	−123431	251729
CWT 3/3 S	—	238	−127699	257375
CWT 3/4 S	—	392	−125925	254525