Research Article
An ENSO-Forecast Independent Statistical Model for the Prediction of Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency in April
Table 3
Same as Table
1 but for Atlantic Hurricanes using March NINO12 as a candidate predictor.
| | Predictors | | Value |
| | All 9 predictors | 0.3764 | 1.10 × 10−2 |
| | ~−AMM | 0.356 | 9.71 × 10−2 | | ~−NINO12 | 0.375 | 5.84 × 10−3 | | ~−AMO | 0.3761 | 5.67 × 10−3 | |
~−NAO | 0.3762 | 5.66 × 10 −3 | | ~−QBO | 0.3704 | 6.63 × 10−3 | | ~−TNA | 0.372 | 6.34 × 10−3 | | ~−TSA | 0.3163 | 2.59 × 10−2 | | ~−WHWP | 0.3757 | 5.73 × 10−3 | | ~−LHF | 0.3678 | 7.11 × 10−3 | | Predictor removed: NAO |
| | ~−AMM | 0.356 | 4.76 × 10−3 | | ~−NINO12 | 0.3746 | 2.80 × 10−3 | |
~−AMO | 0.3759 | 2.69 × 10 −3 | | ~−QBO | 0.3696 | 3.24 × 10−3 | | ~−TNA | 0.372 | 3.01 × 10−3 | | ~−TSA | 0.3161 | 1.38 × 10−2 | | ~−WHWP | 0.3756 | 2.72 × 10−3 | | ~−LHF | 0.3677 | 3.41 × 10−3 | | Predictor removed: AMO |
| | ~−AMM | 0.3538 | 2.28 × 10−3 | | ~−NINO12 | 0.3744 | 1.22 × 10−3 | | ~−QBO | 0.3692 | 1.43 × 10−3 | | ~−TNA | 0.3719 | 1.31 × 10−3 | | ~−TSA | 0.3081 | 8.31 × 10−3 | |
~−WHWP | 0.3752 | 1.18 × 10 −3 | | ~−LHF | 0.3655 | 1.60 × 10−3 | | Predictor removed: WHWP |
| | ~−AMM | 0.3521 | 9.69 × 10−4 | |
~−NINO12 | 0.3743 | 4.72 × 10 −4 | | ~−QBO | 0.3691 | 5.61 × 10−4 | | ~−TNA | 0.3719 | 5.12 × 10−4 | | ~−TSA | 0.3079 | 3.71 × 10−3 | | ~−LHF | 0.3655 | 6.31 × 10−4 | | Predictor removed: NINO12 |
| | ~−AMM | 0.344 | 4.52 × 10−4 | | ~−QBO | 0.3681 | 1.99 × 10−4 | |
~−TNA | 0.3687 | 1.95 × 10 −4 | | ~−TSA | 0.2949 | 2.16 × 10−3 | | ~−LHF | 0.3651 | 2.21 × 10−4 | | Predictor removal: TNA |
| | ~−AMM | 0.1905 | 1.66 × 10−2 | |
~−QBO | 0.3645 | 6.59 × 10 −5 | | ~−TSA | 0.2139 | 8.61 × 10−3 | | ~−LHF | 0.359 | 8.06 × 10−5 | | Predictor removed: QBO |
| | Top 3: AMM, TSA, and LHF |
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