Research Article
An ENSO-Forecast Independent Statistical Model for the Prediction of Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency in April
Table 4
Same as Table
3 but using JAS NINO12 as a predictor.
| Predictors | | Value |
| All 9 predictors | 0.4095 | 4.55 × 10−3 |
| ~−AMM | 0.3949 | 3.34 × 10−3 | ~−NINO12 | 0.375 | 5.84 × 10−3 | ~−AMO | 0.4067 | 2.36 × 10−3 |
~−NAO | 0.4094 | 2.18 × 10 −3 | ~−QBO | 0.4006 | 2.83 × 10−3 | ~−TNA | 0.4064 | 2.39 × 10−3 | ~−TSA | 0.369 | 6.87 × 10−3 | ~−WHWP | 0.4092 | 2.20 × 10−3 | ~−LHF | 0.4005 | 2.84 × 10−3 | Predictor removed: NAO |
| ~−AMM | 0.3945 | 1.54 × 10−3 | ~−NINO12 | 0.3746 | 2.80 × 10−3 | ~−AMO | 0.4067 | 1.05 × 10−3 | ~−QBO | 0.4005 | 1.28 × 10−3 | ~−TNA | 0.4061 | 1.07 × 10−3 | ~−TSA | 0.3689 | 3.30 × 10−3 |
~−WHWP | 0.4092 | 9.72 × 10 −4 | ~−LHF | 0.4002 | 1.29 × 10−3 | Predictor removed: WHWP |
| ~−AMM | 0.3849 | 8.70 × 10−4 | ~−NINO12 | 0.3745 | 1.21 × 10−3 |
~−AMO | 0.4066 | 4.28 × 10 −4 | ~−QBO | 0.3997 | 5.38 × 10−4 | ~−TNA | 0.4027 | 4.87 × 10−4 | ~−TSA | 0.3596 | 1.91 × 10−3 | ~−LHF | 0.3991 | 5.50 × 10−4 | Predictor removed: AMO |
| ~−AMM | 0.3795 | 3.97 × 10−4 | ~−NINO12 | 0.3743 | 4.72 × 10−4 | ~−QBO | 0.3973 | 2.16 × 10−4 |
~−TNA | 0.4017 | 1.85 × 10 −4 | ~−TSA | 0.347 | 1.14 × 10−3 | ~−LHF | 0.3921 | 2.59 × 10−4 | Predictor removed: TNA |
| ~−AMM | 0.2406 | 1.03 × 10−2 | ~−NINO12 | 0.3687 | 1.95 × 10−4 |
~−QBO | 0.3946 | 7.76 × 10 −5 | ~−TSA | 0.2951 | 2.14 × 10−3 | ~−LHF | 0.3865 | 1.04 × 10−4 | Predictor removed: QBO |
| ~−AMM | 0.224 | 6.44 × 10−3 | ~−NINO12 | 0.3645 | 6.59 × 10−5 | ~−TSA | 0.2695 | 1.64 × 10−3 |
~−LHF | 0.384 | 3.20 × 10 −5 | Predictor removed: LHF |
| Top 3: NINO12, AMM, and TSA |
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