Research Article

An ENSO-Forecast Independent Statistical Model for the Prediction of Annual Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency in April

Table 4

Same as Table 3 but using JAS NINO12 as a predictor.

Predictors Value

All 9 predictors0.40954.55 × 10−3

~−AMM0.39493.34 × 10−3
~−NINO120.3755.84 × 10−3
~−AMO0.40672.36 × 10−3
~−NAO0.40942.18 × 10 −3
~−QBO0.40062.83 × 10−3
~−TNA0.40642.39 × 10−3
~−TSA0.3696.87 × 10−3
~−WHWP0.40922.20 × 10−3
~−LHF0.40052.84 × 10−3
Predictor removed: NAO

~−AMM0.39451.54 × 10−3
~−NINO120.37462.80 × 10−3
~−AMO 0.40671.05 × 10−3
~−QBO 0.40051.28 × 10−3
~−TNA 0.40611.07 × 10−3
~−TSA 0.36893.30 × 10−3
~−WHWP0.40929.72 × 10 −4
~−LHF0.40021.29 × 10−3
Predictor removed: WHWP

~−AMM0.38498.70 × 10−4
~−NINO120.37451.21 × 10−3
~−AMO0.40664.28 × 10 −4
~−QBO0.39975.38 × 10−4
~−TNA0.40274.87 × 10−4
~−TSA0.35961.91 × 10−3
~−LHF0.39915.50 × 10−4
Predictor removed: AMO

~−AMM0.37953.97 × 10−4
~−NINO120.37434.72 × 10−4
~−QBO0.39732.16 × 10−4
~−TNA0.40171.85 × 10 −4
~−TSA0.3471.14 × 10−3
~−LHF0.39212.59 × 10−4
Predictor removed: TNA

~−AMM0.24061.03 × 10−2
~−NINO120.36871.95 × 10−4
~−QBO0.39467.76 × 10 −5
~−TSA0.29512.14 × 10−3
~−LHF0.38651.04 × 10−4
Predictor removed: QBO

~−AMM0.2246.44 × 10−3
~−NINO120.36456.59 × 10−5
~−TSA0.26951.64 × 10−3
~−LHF0.3843.20 × 10 −5
Predictor removed: LHF

Top  3:  NINO12,  AMM, and TSA