Probabilistic Ensemble Forecast of Summertime Temperatures in Pakistan

<table>DEMETER forecast probabilities of upper tercile (UT) temperature obtained from February (4-5) forecast in northern Pakistan for the period of 1959–2001. Upper tercile years according to the observational data of PMD are shown with shaded bars and other years are shown with hollow bars. The line-plot indicates the average discharge data of May and June at Attock (River Indus).</table>

Advances in Meteorology

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Figure 3

Figure 3: Probabilistic Ensemble Forecast of Summertime Temperatures in Pakistan 