Research Article

Prediction of Tropical Cyclones’ Characteristic Factors on Hainan Island Using Data Mining Technology

Table 9

The results of statistical significance tests for each equation used to forecast corresponding characteristic factor in forecast model 1 and forecast model 2.

Forecast hourArea numberForecast model (1 or 2)-square/ value for LAT -square/ value for LON-square/ value for AP-square/ value for WS

24 h110.5883/9.52 × 10−110.6011/7.91 × 10−90.6222/4.46 × 10−100.7615/5.47 × 10−15
20.4493/2.26 × 10−320.5809/5.93 × 10−500.7030/1.31 × 10−680.7731/1.01 × 10−81
210.7177/1.86 × 10−140.4391/3.66 × 10−50.7556/5.03 × 10−160.7995/3.57 × 10−18
20.6808/5.17 × 10−1010.6753/1.77 × 10−990.7481/2.13 × 10−1220.7277/3.71 × 10−114
310.6471/6.36 × 10−110.6559/3.48 × 10−110.6310/1.83 × 10−100.6495/3.24 × 10−10
20.6802/6.46 × 10−940.7506/1.19 × 10−1140.5509/1.40 × 10−620.5573/9.84 × 10−65
410.7572/1.05 × 10−120.5348/3.32 × 10−80.7594/1.15 × 10−130.8174/2.47 × 10−15
20.6405/4.83 × 10−420.6266/1.64 × 10−400.6903/1.01 × 10−440.7652/9.25 × 10−57
510.5031/2.40 × 10−60.5154/1.51 × 10−60.8732/2.73 × 10−140.8524/5.03 × 10−15
20.6239/2.84 × 10−350.6464/1.67 × 10−370.7835/6.98 × 10−520.7550/1.52 × 10−48

48 h110.1337/0.02400.3943/3.91 × 10−50.3208/1.77 × 10−40.4725/5.34 × 10−6
20.2177/0.00490.0399/0.33980.2532/0.00160.4275/7.92 × 10−6
210.4515/9.05 × 10−60.2668/0.02180.6720/1.72 × 10−100.4622/5.99 × 10−6
20.4022/1.64 × 10−360.3095/6.51 × 10−260.2960/5.05 × 10−230.3332/6.27 × 10−27
310.2251/0.02180.3935/4.57 × 10−50.0026/0.72700.1362/0.1596
20.3073/6.18 × 10−250.4369/2.13 × 10−390.1768/2.51 × 10−120.2479/8.91 × 10−18
410.4992/9.60 × 10−70.3055/2.74 × 10−40.4303/1.53 × 10−50.6249/1.84 × 10−9
20.3323/3.77 × 10−160.3270/1.02 × 10−160.2471/1.70 × 10−90.3580/3.65 × 10−16
510.4546/6.19 × 10−50.2554/0.00430.3705/1.91 × 10−40.3535/0.0012
20.4219/1.09 × 10−180.3825/3.44 × 10−170.2120/2.18 × 10−70.3322/2.46 × 10−12