- About this Journal ·
- Abstracting and Indexing ·
- Advance Access ·
- Aims and Scope ·
- Annual Issues ·
- Article Processing Charges ·
- Articles in Press ·
- Author Guidelines ·
- Bibliographic Information ·
- Citations to this Journal ·
- Contact Information ·
- Editorial Board ·
- Editorial Workflow ·
- Free eTOC Alerts ·
- Publication Ethics ·
- Reviewers Acknowledgment ·
- Submit a Manuscript ·
- Subscription Information ·
- Table of Contents
Advances in Meteorology
Volume 2014 (2014), Article ID 748923, 11 pages
The Influence of Precipitation and Consecutive Dry Days on Burned Areas in Yunnan Province, Southwestern China
1College of Forestry, Beijing Forestry University, Beijing 100083, China
2Department of Forestry, College of Forest Resources, Mississippi State University, Oktibbeha County, MS 39762, USA
Received 28 January 2014; Revised 4 April 2014; Accepted 16 April 2014; Published 18 May 2014
Academic Editor: Hann-Ming H. Juang
Copyright © 2014 Feng Chen et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
- T. J. Brown, B. L. Hall, and A. L. Westerling, “The impact of twenty-first century climate change on wildland fire danger in the western united states: an applications perspective,” Climatic Change, vol. 62, no. 1–3, pp. 365–388, 2004.
- European Commission, Forest Fires in Europe-Report No. 4, S.P.I.04.124, Publication of the European Commission, 2004.
- M. D. Flannigan, J. B. Stocks, and M. Weber, “Fire regimes and climatic change in Canadian forests,” in Fire and Climate Change in Temperate Ecosystems of the Western Americas, T. T. Veblen, L. W. Baker, G. Montenegro, et al., Eds., pp. 97–119, Springer, New York, NY, USA, 2003.
- B. J. Stocks, M. A. Fosberg, T. J. Lynham et al., “Climate change and forest fire potential in Russian and Canadian boreal forests,” Climatic Change, vol. 38, no. 1, pp. 1–13, 1998.
- R. C. Balling Jr., G. A. Meyer, and S. G. Wells, “Relation of surface climate and burned area in Yellowstone National Park,” Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, vol. 60, no. 3-4, pp. 285–293, 1992.
- R. Vélez, “High intensity forest fires in the Mediterranean Basin: natural and socioeconomic causes,” Disaster Manage, vol. 5, pp. 16–20, 1993.
- F. P. Schoenberg, R. Peng, Z. Huang, and P. Rundel, “Detection of non-linearities in the dependence of burn area on fuel age and climatic variables,” International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 12, no. 1, pp. 1–6, 2003.
- M. de Luís, M. F. García-Cano, J. Cortina, J. Raventós, J. C. González-Hidalgo, and J. R. Sánchez, “Climatic trends, disturbances and short-term vegetation dynamics in a Mediterranean shrubland,” Forest Ecology and Management, vol. 147, no. 1, pp. 25–37, 2001.
- F. Mouillot, S. Rambal, and R. Joffre, “Simulating climate change impacts on fire frequency and vegetation dynamics in a Mediterranean-type ecosystem,” Global Change Biology, vol. 8, no. 5, pp. 423–437, 2002.
- A. Badia, D. Saurí, R. Cerdan, and J.-C. Llurdés, “Causality and management of forest fires in Mediterranean environments: an example from Catalonia,” Environmental Hazards, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 23–32, 2002.
- J. S. Fried, J. K. Gilless, W. J. Riley et al., “Predicting the effect of climate change on wildfire behavior and initial attack success,” Climatic Change, vol. 87, no. 1, pp. 251–264, 2008.
- F. C. Rego, “Land use changes and forest fires,” in Responses of Forest Ecosystems to Environmental Changes, A. Teller, P. Mathy, and J. N. Jeffers, Eds., pp. 367–373, Elsevier, London, UK, 1992.
- F. W. Davis and J. Michaelsen, “Sensitivity of fire regime in chaparral ecosystems to climate change,” in Global Change and Mediterranean-Type Ecosystems, M. J. Moreno and C. W. Oechel, Eds., pp. 435–456, Springer, New York, NY, USA, 1995.
- M. D. Flannigan, B. J. Stocks, and B. M. Wotton, “Climate change and forest fires,” Science of the Total Environment, vol. 262, no. 3, pp. 221–229, 2000.
- J. S. Fried, M. S. Torn, and E. Mills, “The impact of climate change on wildfire severity: a regional forecast for northern California,” Climatic Change, vol. 64, no. 1-2, pp. 169–191, 2004.
- N. L. Stephenson, “Climatic control of vegetation distribution: the role of the water balance,” American Naturalist, vol. 135, no. 5, pp. 649–670, 1990.
- N. L. Stephenson, “Actual evapotranspiration and deficit: biologically meaningful correlates of vegetation distribution across spatial scales,” Journal of Biogeography, vol. 25, no. 5, pp. 855–870, 1998.
- E. K. Heyerdahl, L. B. Brubaker, and J. K. Agee, “Annual and decadal climate forcing of historical fire regimes in the interior Pacific Northwest, USA,” The Holocene, vol. 12, no. 5, pp. 597–604, 2002.
- T. T. Veblen, “Historic range of variability of mountain forest ecosystems: concepts and applications,” Forestry Chronicle, vol. 79, no. 2, pp. 223–226, 2003.
- T. W. Swetnam and J. L. Betancourt, “Fire-southern oscillation relations in the southwestern United States,” Science, vol. 249, no. 4972, pp. 1017–1020, 1990.
- C. S. Jones, J. F. Shriver, and J. J. O’Brien, “The effects of El Niño on rainfall and fire in Florida,” The Florida Geographer, vol. 30, pp. 55–69, 1999.
- T. W. Swetnam and J. L. Betancourt, “Mesoscale disturbance and ecological response to decadal climatic variability in the American Southwest,” Journal of Climate, vol. 11, no. 12, pp. 3128–3147, 1998.
- Y. Chen, J. T. Randerson, D. C. Morton et al., “Forecasting fire season severity in South America using sea surface temperature anomalies,” Science, vol. 334, no. 6057, pp. 787–791, 2011.
- A. L. Westerling, H. G. Hidalgo, D. R. Cayan, and T. W. Swetnam, “Warming and earlier spring increase Western U.S. forest wildfire activity,” Science, vol. 313, no. 5789, pp. 940–943, 2006.
- N. P. Gillett, A. J. Weaver, F. W. Zwiers, and M. D. Flannigan, “Detecting the effect of climate change on Canadian forest fires,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 31, no. 18, Article ID L18211, 2004.
- A. J. Soja, N. M. Tchebakova, N. H. F. French et al., “Climate-induced boreal forest change: predictions versus current observations,” Global and Planetary Change, vol. 56, no. 3-4, pp. 274–296, 2007.
- E. N. Valendik, “Temporal and spatial distribution of forest fires in Siberia,” in Fire in Ecosystems of Boreal Eurasia, J. G. Goldammer and V. V. Furyaev, Eds., pp. 129–138, Kluwer Academic, Dodrecht, The Netherlands, 1996.
- A. L. Lelyakin, A. O. Kokorin, and I. M. Nazarov, “Vulnerability of Russian forests to climate changes. Model estimation of CO2 fluxes,” Climatic Change, vol. 36, no. 1-2, pp. 123–133, 1997.
- E. D. Reinhardt, R. E. Keane, and J. K. Brown, “First order fire effects model: FOFEM 4.0, user’s guide,” General Technical Report INT-344, USDA Forest Service, 1997.
- X. R. Tian, L. F. Shu, and F. J. Zhao, “Conditions of lighting fires occurrence in Daxinganling forest region,” Forestry Science, vol. 48, no. 7, pp. 98–103, 2012 (Chinese).
- L. F. Shu, X. R. Tian, and X. J. Kou, “Forest fire research review: forest fire prediction,” Forestry Research, vol. 6, no. 4, pp. 34–37, 2003 (Chinese).
- Z. J. Song, The Principle of Forest Fire and Forest Fire Forecast, Meteorological Press, Beijing, China, 1991, (Chinese).
- A. Venäläinen, K. Jylhä, B. E. Kilpeläinen, et al., “Recurrence of heavy precipitation, dry spells and deep snow cover in Finland based on observations,” Boreal Environment Research, vol. 14, pp. 166–172, 2009.
- M. G. Turner, W. W. Hargrove, R. H. Gardner, and W. H. Romme, “Effects of fire on landscape heterogeneity in Yellowstone National Park, Wyoming,” Journal of Vegetation Science, vol. 5, no. 5, pp. 731–742, 1994.
- G. W. Minshall, J. T. Brock, and J. D. Varley, “Forest fires and Yellowstone's stream ecosystems,” BioScience, vol. 39, no. 10, pp. 707–715, 1989.
- R. H. Wakimoto, “National fire management policy: a look at the need for change,” Western Wildlands, vol. 15, pp. 35–39, 1989.
- G. Li, “Forest fire causes analysis and management countermeasures in Yunnan province,” Forest Fire Prevention, vol. 7, pp. 10–11, 2000 (Chinese).
- Z. Huo and H. N. Liu, “The characteristics of forest fire in Yunnan province,” Forest Fire Prevention, vol. 1, pp. 12–14, 1987 (Chinese).
- M. D. Flannigan and J. B. Harrington, “A study of the relation of meteorological variables to monthly provincial area burned by forest fire in Canada 1953–80,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, vol. 27, pp. 441–452, 1988.
- Z. A. Holden, P. Morgan, M. A. Crimmins, R. K. Steinhorst, and A. M. S. Smith, “Fire season precipitation variability influences fire extent and severity in a large southwestern wilderness area, United States,” Geophysical Research Letters, vol. 34, no. 16, Article ID L16708, 2007.
- P. E. Thornton, S. W. Running, and M. A. White, “Generating surfaces of daily meteorological variables over large regions of complex terrain,” Journal of Hydrology, vol. 190, no. 3-4, pp. 214–251, 1997.
- R. Koenker and B. J. Park, “An interior point algorithm for nonlinear quantile regression,” Journal of Econometrics, vol. 71, no. 1-2, pp. 265–283, 1996.
- D. X. Viegas and M. T. Viegas, “A relationship between rainfall and burned area for Portugal,” International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 11–16, 1994.
- J. J. Keetch and G. M. Byram, “A drought index for forest fire control,” Research Paper SE-38, USDA Forest Service, Southeastern Forest and Range Experiment Station, 1968.
- W. C. Bessie and E. A. Johnson, “The relative importance of fuels and weather on fire behavior in subalpine forests,” Ecology, vol. 76, no. 3, pp. 747–762, 1995.
- W. Song, F. Weicheng, W. Binghong, and Z. Jianjun, “Self-organized criticality of forest fire in China,” Ecological Modelling, vol. 145, no. 1, pp. 61–68, 2001.
- P. A. Knapp, “Intermountain west lightning-caused fires—climatic predictors of area burned,” Journal of Range Management, vol. 48, no. 1, pp. 85–91, 1995.
- J. S. Littell, D. Mckenzie, D. L. Peterson, and A. L. Westerling, “Climate and wildfire area burned in western U.S. ecoprovinces, 1916–2003,” Ecological Applications, vol. 19, no. 4, pp. 1003–1021, 2009.
- K. Finkele, G. A. Mills, G. Beard, and D. A. Jones, “National daily gridded soil moisture deficit and drought factors for use in prediction of forest fire danger index in Australia,” Research Report 119, Bureau of Meteorology Research Centre, 2006.
- B. L. Hall and J. T. Brown, “A comparison of precipitation and drought indices related to fire activity in the US,” in Proceedings of the 5th Symposium on Fire and Forest Meteorology, American Meteorological Society, 2003.
- A. J. Rutter, “The hydrological cycle in vegetion,” in Vegetation and the Atmosphere, J. L. Monteith, Ed., pp. 111–154, Academic Press, London, UK, 1975.
- J. R. Simpson, L. J. Fritschen, and K. E. Saxton, “Adapting an agricultural soil-plant-air-water model for use in forests,” in The Forest-Atmosphere Interaction, B. A. Hutchison and B. B. Hicks, Eds., pp. 197–210, Reidel, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 1985.
- D. L. Spittlehouse and T. A. Black, “A growing season water balance model applied to two Douglas fir stands,” Water Resources Research, vol. 17, no. 6, pp. 1651–1656, 1981.
- B. L. Hall, “Precipitation associated with lightning-ignited wildfires in Arizona and New Mexico,” International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 16, no. 2, pp. 242–254, 2007.
- C. E. van Wagner, “Development and structure of the Canadian forest fire weather index system,” Tech. Rep. 35, Canadian Forestry Service, Ottawa, Canada, 1987.
- C. E. van Wagner, Structure of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index, Canadian Forestry Service, Ottawa, Canada, 1974.
- S. Y. Zhang, C. H. Zhu, and H. Chen, “The study of Meteorological elements and major forest fire,” Journal of Natural Disasters, vol. 9, no. 2, pp. 111–117, 2000 (Chinese).
- E. A. Brotak and W. E. Reifsnyder, “An investigation of the synoptic situations associated with major wildland fires,” Journal of Applied Meteorology, vol. 16, no. 9, pp. 867–870, 1977.
- M. A. Crimmins, “Synoptic climatology of extreme fire-weather conditions across the southwest United States,” International Journal of Climatology, vol. 26, no. 8, pp. 1001–1016, 2006.
- H. K. Preisler and A. L. Westerling, “Statistical model for forecasting monthly large wildfire events in western United States,” Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, vol. 46, no. 7, pp. 1020–1030, 2007.
- H. K. Preisler, A. L. Westerling, K. M. Gebert, F. Munoz-Arriola, and T. P. Holmes, “Spatially explicit forecasts of large wildland fire probability and suppression costs for California,” International Journal of Wildland Fire, vol. 20, no. 4, pp. 508–517, 2011.
- T. P. Holmes, R. J. Huggett Jr., and A. L. Westerling, “Statistical analysis of large forest fires,” in The Economics of Forest Disturbances, T. P. Holmes, R. J. Huggett Jr., and J. M. Pye, Eds., pp. 59–77, Springer, Dordrecht, The Netherlands, 2008.