Research Article

Fuzzy Clustering-Based Ensemble Approach to Predicting Indian Monsoon

Table 6

Mean absolute errors (%) for annual Indian summer monsoon rainfall prediction by individual MLP cluster models and ensemble model for test period 2001–2013. Reports minimum error of 4.0%.

Predictor set Parameter set Cluster1 error (%) Cluster2 error (%) Cluster3 error (%) Ensemble error (%)

PredSet1 ParSet4 13.8 18.1 16.9 8.2
PredSet2 ParSet3 16.0 7.9 11.0 5.2
PredSet3 ParSet1 8.0 7.8 6.5 6.5
PredSet4 ParSet1 9.3 10.7 4.5 4.0
PredSet5 ParSet1 8.5 15.3 13.7 11.0