The Performance of the National Weather Service Heat Warning System against Ground Observations and Satellite Imagery
Table 2
Chicago weather station details on the number of normal (“Norm”) and Advisory (“Heat”) days during the summer of 2011 and 2012. The total number of false positives (no station hazard with NWS Advisory) and false negatives (station hazard with no NWS Advisory) is also provided to give an idea of the agreement between the station and the NWS Advisories for that county.
Metro County Station
Land cover (NLCD 2011)
2011
2012
False pos.
False neg.
Obs
Norm
Heat
%
Norm
Heat
%
Chicago
Cook
KILWESTC4
Developed low intensity
152
0
0%
149
0
0%
16
0
301
KILCHICA106
Developed high intensity
153
0
0%
151
2
1%
14
0
306
KILCHICA86
Developed high intensity
149
2
1%
153
0
0%
14
0
304
KILCHICA52
Developed high intensity
151
0
0%
150
3
2%
13
0
304
KILLINCO6
Developed medium intensity
135
2
1%
153
0
0%
13
0
290
KILCHICA37
Developed high intensity
151
2
1%
151
2
1%
12
0
306
KILORLAN3
Developed low intensity
142
2
1%
149
2
1%
12
0
295
KILWESTC7
Developed low intensity
139
3
2%
151
2
1%
12
1
295
KILARLIN3
Developed medium intensity
151
2
1%
150
3
2%
11
0
306
KILMELRO2
Developed low intensity
148
2
1%
150
3
2%
11
0
303
KILCHICA30
Developed medium intensity
146
2
1%
150
3
2%
11
0
301
KILLYONS1
Developed medium intensity
133
2
1%
136
3
2%
11
0
274
KILLAGRA2
Developed low intensity
144
2
1%
128
0
0%
11
0
274
MAT224
Developed medium intensity
128
2
2%
137
0
0%
11
0
267
KILDESPL6
Developed medium intensity
151
2
1%
148
5
3%
10
1
306
KILEVANS2
Developed medium intensity
149
4
3%
149
4
3%
10
2
306
KILELKGR4
Developed low intensity
137
3
2%
149
4
3%
10
1
293
KILDEERF3
Developed low intensity
147
0
0%
143
3
2%
10
0
293
KILOAKPA1
Developed high intensity
130
3
2%
136
4
3%
10
1
273
MAS935
Developed low intensity
129
2
2%
132
3
2%
10
0
266
KILLYONS3
Developed medium intensity
148
5
3%
147
6
4%
9
4
306
KILPALAT4
Developed low intensity
144
3
2%
147
6
4%
9
2
300
MAT062
Developed low intensity
144
5
3%
143
6
4%
9
4
298
KILCHICA69
Developed low intensity
145
2
1%
145
2
1%
9
0
294
KILPALOS2
Developed low intensity
143
3
2%
130
6
4%
9
2
282
KILNORTH9
Developed medium intensity
139
4
3%
133
5
4%
9
2
281
KILCHICA112
Developed high intensity
153
0
0%
9
0
153
KILCHICA111
Developed medium intensity
131
0
0%
9
0
131
KILORLAN4
Developed medium intensity
136
7
5%
140
0
0%
8
4
283
KILBARRI7
Developed medium intensity
117
3
3%
142
4
3%
8
1
266
KILARLIN6
Developed low intensity
135
2
1%
133
6
4%
7
1
276
KILCHICA105
Developed high intensity
130
0
0%
7
0
130
MAU210
Developed low intensity
149
3
2%
6
0
152
KILOAKLA4
Developed low intensity
139
12
8%
144
9
6%
5
11
304
KILCHICA114
Developed low intensity
148
4
3%
5
0
152
KILWINNE3
Developed low intensity
148
4
3%
5
0
152
KILPALOS4
Developed medium intensity
146
4
3%
5
0
150
KILTINLE1
Developed medium intensity
147
2
1%
5
0
149
KILCHICA115
Developed medium intensity
145
4
3%
5
0
149
KILORLAN5
Developed high intensity
144
4
3%
5
0
148
KILCHICA107
Developed medium intensity
129
4
3%
5
0
133
KILCHICA68
Developed medium intensity
142
9
6%
4
6
151
KILARLIN4
Developed low intensity
131
6
4%
3
1
137
KILROLLI4
Developed low intensity
129
8
6%
2
2
137
DuPage
KILCAROL5
Developed low intensity
115
0
0%
151
0
0%
15
0
266
KILWESTC8
Developed medium intensity
149
3
2%
153
0
0%
14
1
305
KILCLARE2
Developed low intensity
147
3
2%
134
2
1%
12
1
286
CHIAirport
Developed open space
151
2
1%
150
3
2%
11
0
306
KILNAPER15
Developed low intensity
150
3
2%
149
4
3%
10
1
306
KILNAPER7
Developed low intensity
150
3
2%
149
4
3%
10
1
306
KILDOWNE3
Deciduous forest
150
3
2%
146
2
1%
9
1
301
KILELMHU5
Developed low intensity
136
5
4%
147
3
2%
9
3
291
KILLISLE3
Developed open space
148
3
2%
144
6
4%
9
2
301
KILLOMBA5
Developed low intensity
123
0
0%
149
4
3%
9
0
276
KILWARRE2
Developed low intensity
146
2
1%
142
4
3%
9
1
294
KILWHEAT5
Developed medium intensity
133
5
4%
137
0
0%
9
3
275
KILWHEAT8
Developed medium intensity
121
3
2%
135
4
3%
9
1
263
MC5020
Developed medium intensity
148
3
2%
146
3
2%
9
1
300
MD1973
Developed low intensity
143
2
1%
136
5
4%
9
3
286
KILNAPER9
Developed low intensity
146
5
3%
145
8
5%
8
5
304
KILWOODR2
Developed low intensity
139
8
5%
131
6
4%
8
6
284
KILWOODR4
Developed low intensity
146
5
3%
145
8
5%
8
5
304
KILCHICA63
Developed low intensity
148
0
0%
7
0
148
KILDARIE3
Developed low intensity
135
10
7%
143
4
3%
7
6
292
KILGLENE1
Developed low intensity
130
2
2%
140
0
0%
7
0
272
KILNAPER19
Developed medium intensity
145
7
5%
144
8
5%
7
6
304
KILWHEAT7
Developed low intensity
145
3
2%
139
5
3%
7
1
292
MD0023
Developed open space
128
2
2%
140
0
0%
7
0
270
KILWESTC5
Developed low intensity
150
3
2%
5
1
153
KILNAPER21
Developed low intensity
147
6
4%
4
1
153
KILGLENE5
Developed low intensity
125
6
5%
3
3
131
KILWHEAT9
Developed low intensity
136
9
6%
3
3
145
Lake, IL
KILGURNE6
Developed open space
146
0
0%
152
0
0%
14
0
298
KILLAKEB2
Developed low intensity
145
0
0%
130
0
0%
14
0
275
MC2377
Developed low intensity
145
0
0%
152
0
0%
14
0
297
KILDEERF2
Deciduous forest
151
2
1%
153
0
0%
12
0
306
KILLAKEB4
Developed low intensity
137
2
1%
142
0
0%
12
0
281
KILLIBER6
Developed low intensity
150
2
1%
153
0
0%
12
0
305
KILANTIO1
Developed open space
151
2
1%
150
3
2%
9
0
306
KILGURNE1
Developed open space
148
0
0%
141
3
2%
9
0
292
KILGURNE8
Developed low intensity
148
2
1%
149
3
2%
9
0
302
KILMUNDE4
Open water
148
3
2%
148
3
2%
8
1
302
KILGRAYS3
Developed low intensity
142
5
3%
148
5
3%
7
3
300
KILINGLE2
Developed low intensity
148
5
3%
148
5
3%
7
3
306
KILLAKEV6
Open water
151
2
1%
145
7
5%
7
2
305
KILLAKEV7
Developed medium intensity
144
4
3%
146
4
3%
7
1
298
KILWINTH3
Developed low intensity
136
4
3%
135
4
3%
7
1
279
KILLAKEV4
Developed low intensity
119
3
2%
6
0
122
KILLIBER2
Developed open space
140
0
0%
116
37
24%
6
30
293
KILVERNO2
Developed medium intensity
147
4
3%
5
0
151
KILZION4
Developed open space
143
3
2%
5
0
146
KILLAKEZ3
Developed low intensity
144
9
6%
145
8
5%
4
7
306
KILTHIRD3
Deciduous forest
139
9
6%
4
4
148
KILBARRI8
Developed low intensity
137
8
6%
3
2
145
KILHIGHL6
Developed low intensity
86
52
38%
1
46
138
Lake, IN
KINHOBAR5
Developed medium intensity
148
5
3%
149
4
3%
10
1
306
KINLOWEL5
Cultivated crops
146
7
5%
146
6
4%
9
4
305
KINEASTC3
Developed high intensity
129
2
2%
126
5
4%
8
1
262
KINHAMMO3
Developed low intensity
135
6
4%
143
8
5%
8
5
292
KILCRETE1
Developed low intensity
124
2
2%
6
0
126
KINMUNST1
Developed low intensity
134
15
10%
143
10
7%
6
13
302
KINCEDAR4
Developed low intensity
139
6
4%
130
23
15%
5
17
298
KINHAMMO2
Developed low intensity
132
17
11%
142
10
7%
5
14
301
KINLOWEL4
Cultivated crops
107
8
7%
1
2
115
WILL
KILROMEO4
Developed open space
152
0
0%
145
0
0%
18
0
297
KILWILMI1
Developed low intensity
131
0
0%
117
0
0%
18
0
248
KILMOKEN1
Developed low intensity
147
0
0%
148
0
0%
16
0
295
KILFRANK1
Developed low intensity
149
3
2%
147
4
3%
12
1
303
MWMGI2
Grassland/herbaceous
145
6
4%
149
4
3%
12
4
304
KILBOLIN10
Developed low intensity
147
2
1%
133
4
3%
11
0
286
KILGLENW1
Cultivated crops
123
9
7%
121
2
2%
11
5
255
KILJOLIE4
Developed low intensity
149
3
2%
147
4
3%
11
1
303
KILMINOO3
Developed low intensity
148
5
3%
120
6
5%
11
4
279
KILPLAIN5
Developed low Intensity
150
3
2%
147
6
4%
11
2
306
KILROMEO5
Developed medium intensity
135
5
4%
144
6
4%
11
4
290
KILLOCKP6
Developed low intensity
150
3
2%
145
7
5%
10
2
305
KILPEOTO1
Developed low intensity
148
5
3%
148
4
3%
10
1
305
KILCHANN3
Developed low intensity
145
5
3%
129
6
4%
9
4
285
KILJOLIE12
Developed medium intensity
145
5
3%
145
8
5%
9
4
303
KILPLAIN6
Developed low intensity
146
6
4%
147
6
4%
9
3
305
KILROMEO7
Developed medium intensity
151
0
0%
9
0
151
KILBOLIN8
Developed open space
137
6
4%
127
8
6%
7
5
278
KILELWOO2
Woody wetlands
134
19
12%
140
13
8%
6
20
306
KILJOLIE15
Developed low intensity
138
15
10%
143
10
7%
6
13
306
KILLOCKP1
Developed medium intensity
122
30
20%
136
15
10%
6
33
303
KILMANHA2
Developed medium intensity
149
4
3%
5
0
153
KILNEWLE3
Developed low intensity
149
4
3%
5
0
153
KILNEWLE9
Developed medium intensity
148
4
3%
5
0
152
KILPLAIN15
Developed low intensity
115
22
16%
145
8
5%
5
17
290
KILLOCKP9
Developed low intensity
134
6
4%
4
1
140
KILNEWLE8
Developed medium intensity
147
6
4%
4
1
153
KILPLAIN19
Developed low intensity
147
6
4%
4
1
153
MD9022
Developed medium intensity
137
6
4%
4
1
143
KILBOLIN11
Developed low intensity
138
15
10%
3
9
153
KILBRAID6
Developed medium intensity
145
8
5%
3
2
153
KILPLAIN7
Developed medium intensity
142
9
6%
3
3
151
KILAUROR20
Developed low intensity
96
45
32%
1
37
141
Stations within each county are sorted by number of false positives.