Change-Point Analysis of Tropical Night Occurrences for Five Major Cities in Republic of Korea

<table class="table-group" id="tab2"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td align="left" rowspan="2">City</td><td align="center" colspan="2">Posterior probability </td></tr><tr class="thead"><td align="center"><span style="width: 47.2681ptpx;"><svg height="13.2498pt" id="M33" style="vertical-align:-3.571899pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.6779 47.2681 13.2498" width="47.2681pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M600 480C600 590 528 650 384 650H143L137 622C222 614 225 607 210 531L130 127C113 41 106 36 23 28L17 0H294L300 28C204 36 195 42 212 127L243 284L314 263C327 263 339 263 352 264C465 271 600 337 600 480ZM508 481C508 351 402 304 329 304C289 304 265 311 250 317L295 559C302 594 310 606 323 611C335 616 350 619 367 619C455 619 508 573 508 481Z" id="g113-81"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="617" vert-adv-y="617"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,8.365,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,13.052,0)"><path d="M962 650H795L470 145L347 650H176L170 622C268 613 275 606 244 503L190 322C150 188 132 126 118 91C102 50 80 33 18 28L12 0H245L251 28C175 35 170 48 174 93C177 128 191 180 220 284L292 542H294C331 392 383 150 409 4H432L774 555H776L714 137C700 40 694 34 612 28L606 0H868L874 28C793 34 784 37 797 137L849 533C859 612 863 616 956 622L962 650Z" id="g113-78"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="985" vert-adv-y="985"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0095,0,0,-0.0095,25.788,3.264)"><path d="M245 635C92 635 37 457 37 312C37 149 91 -12 244 -12C395 -12 449 166 449 312C449 469 395 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transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,42.331,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td align="center"><span style="width: 47.2681ptpx;"><svg height="13.2498pt" id="M34" style="vertical-align:-3.571899pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -9.6779 47.2681 13.2498" width="47.2681pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M600 480C600 590 528 650 384 650H143L137 622C222 614 225 607 210 531L130 127C113 41 106 36 23 28L17 0H294L300 28C204 36 195 42 212 127L243 284L314 263C327 263 339 263 352 264C465 271 600 337 600 480ZM508 481C508 351 402 304 329 304C289 304 265 311 250 317L295 559C302 594 310 606 323 611C335 616 350 619 367 619C455 619 508 573 508 481Z" id="g113-81"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="617" vert-adv-y="617"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,8.365,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,13.052,0)"><path d="M962 650H795L470 145L347 650H176L170 622C268 613 275 606 244 503L190 322C150 188 132 126 118 91C102 50 80 33 18 28L12 0H245L251 28C175 35 170 48 174 93C177 128 191 180 220 284L292 542H294C331 392 383 150 409 4H432L774 555H776L714 137C700 40 694 34 612 28L606 0H868L874 28C793 34 784 37 797 137L849 533C859 612 863 616 956 622L962 650Z" id="g113-78"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="985" vert-adv-y="985"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0095,0,0,-0.0095,25.788,3.264)"><path d="M389 0V32C297 38 291 46 291 118V635C234 613 175 595 109 583V556L161 554C203 552 207 547 207 497V118C207 46 201 38 110 32V0H389Z" id="g50-50"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="487" vert-adv-y="487"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,30.922,0)"><path d="M162 -163V703H101V-163H162Z" id="g113-9"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="263" vert-adv-y="263"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,34.485,0)"><path d="M556 393C556 426 537 448 514 448C496 448 478 435 471 420C468 414 462 401 466 394C473 382 480 368 480 346C480 268 392 143 338 67H336C329 163 319 253 309 330S286 448 254 448C215 448 160 383 127 337L143 311C167 344 200 373 208 373S222 365 229 320C246 214 264 66 268 -20C219 -83 131 -171 17 -239L25 -261L137 -235C248 -110 273 -79 335 8C384 77 481 215 520 287C544 332 556 363 556 393Z" id="g113-122"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="579" vert-adv-y="579"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,42.331,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="3"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td align="left">Seoul</td><td align="center"><span style="width: 58.935ptpx;"><svg height="12.2911pt" id="M35" style="vertical-align:-0.2129993pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.0781 58.935 12.2911" width="58.935pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.0135,0,0,-0.0135,0,0)"><path d="M285 378C315 398 338 416 353 432C373 451 384 474 384 503C384 579 325 635 236 635H235C182 635 136 610 108 579L65 516L85 496C110 533 150 575 205 575C258 575 300 543 300 481C300 407 232 369 141 339L147 310C163 315 188 321 211 321C268 321 338 284 338 192C338 94 288 40 217 40C160 40 119 68 93 91C85 98 77 97 69 91C60 84 47 71 46 58C44 46 48 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vert-adv-y="487"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td align="center">1.0</td></tr><tr><td align="left">Incheon</td><td align="center">0.00259</td><td align="center">0.99741</td></tr><tr><td align="left">Daegu</td><td align="center">0.00089</td><td align="center">0.99911</td></tr><tr><td align="left">Kwangju</td><td align="center">0.77478</td><td align="center">0.22522</td></tr><tr><td align="left">Busan</td><td align="center">0.50661</td><td align="center">0.49339</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="3"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

The posterior probabilities for each model.

Advances in Meteorology

tab2

Table 2

Table 2: Change-Point Analysis of Tropical Night Occurrences for Five Major Cities in Republic of Korea 