Research Article

Analysis of Climate and Land Use Changes Impacts on Land Degradation in the North China Plain

Table 1

Results for binary panel logistic regression analyses for the biophysical and socioeconomic driving forces of land degradation.

Land degradation conditions (1 represents land improvement and 0 represents land degradation)Coef.

ΔRainfall (mm)3.221
ΔTemperature (°C)1.025
Percentage of land conversion from cultivated land to built-up land (%)−0.326
Percentage of land conversion from cultivated land to forest land (%)1.788
Percentage of land conversion from cultivated land to grassland (%)8.507
ΔFertilizer utilization per unit area (kg/ha)0.506
ΔPopulation density (ten thousand people/km2)−11.282
ΔRural farmers’ per capita income (ten thousand yuan)
ΔPer capita gross domestic production (ten thousand yuan)0.0004
ΔShare of production value of agriculture animal husbandry and fishery in GDP (%)−1.672
DEM (km)3.214
Slope (degree)−0.018
Soil organic matter (%)0.446
Distance to highway (km)0.002
_cons0.032

Note: significant at the 10% level; significant at the 5% level; and significant at the 1% level.