An Analysis of Tropical Cold-Point Tropopause Warming in 1999

<table class="table-group" id="tab1"><tr><td><table class="table"><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="4"><hr/></td></tr><tr class="thead"><td class="align_left"><span style="width: 8.28119ptpx;"><svg height="8.8423pt" id="M28" style="vertical-align:-0.2064009pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -8.6359 8.28119 8.8423" width="8.28119pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M610 18C585 26 567 34 540 68C517 97 499 128 476 171C452 215 425 276 413 304C496 332 570 394 570 494C570 555 545 595 509 619S419 650 364 650H139L133 622C216 615 219 612 203 527L129 132C112 40 105 36 23 28L17 0H279L285 28C199 34 194 40 211 132L239 284H284C320 284 334 275 351 236C374 182 394 140 420 93C459 23 495 -1 592 -8H600L610 18ZM480 485C480 424 449 372 403 342C374 323 338 316 293 316H245L291 562C296 589 301 601 311 608S337 618 358 618C432 618 480 575 480 485Z" id="g113-83"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="627" vert-adv-y="627"></glyph.data></g></svg></span></td><td class="align_center">Prewarming</td><td class="align_center">Warming</td><td class="align_center">Postwarming</td></tr><tr><td class="thead-hr" colspan="4"><hr/></td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">olr &amp; <i>u</i></td><td class="align_center">0.27 (9)</td><td class="align_center">0.79 (4)</td><td class="align_center">0.36 (19)</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left"><i>u</i> &amp;  <svg height="9.25202pt" id="M29" style="vertical-align:-3.29111pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.0424 9.25202" width="13.0424pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M689 332C689 394 670 448 646 448C620 448 597 421 597 396C597 386 600 381 608 372C619 359 620 334 620 315C620 150 538 45 454 45C414 45 386 67 386 122C386 138 388 158 394 180L457 426L452 432L377 416L315 156C302 100 259 45 216 45C176 45 148 67 148 122C148 133 152 158 156 180C162 212 173 259 194 332C201 357 206 384 206 405C206 430 198 448 174 448C125 448 66 406 23 342L43 319C84 368 110 383 121 383C126 383 128 382 128 377C128 370 127 359 122 343C99 268 84 204 77 156C74 137 70 111 70 104C70 25 125 -12 180 -12C228 -12 276 12 319 50C338 8 378 -12 418 -12C549 -12 689 166 689 332Z" id="g113-120"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="712" vert-adv-y="712"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M357 391C357 416 325 451 270 451C241 451 179 431 146 400C109 365 97 334 97 307C97 248 143 213 196 180C250 146 261 123 261 101C261 75 237 40 190 40C153 40 110 72 86 109C81 116 68 119 55 112C37 102 24 87 24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 164 309 164 346C164 381 194 400 220 400C259 400 282 380 304 350C310 342 321 339 330 344C347 353 357 372 357 391Z" id="g50-116"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="381" vert-adv-y="381"></glyph.data></g></svg></td><td class="align_center">−0.11 (100)</td><td class="align_center">−0.55 (8)</td><td class="align_center">−0.25 (26)</td></tr><tr><td class="align_left">olr &amp;  <svg height="9.25202pt" id="M30" style="vertical-align:-3.29111pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.0424 9.25202" width="13.0424pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M689 332C689 394 670 448 646 448C620 448 597 421 597 396C597 386 600 381 608 372C619 359 620 334 620 315C620 150 538 45 454 45C414 45 386 67 386 122C386 138 388 158 394 180L457 426L452 432L377 416L315 156C302 100 259 45 216 45C176 45 148 67 148 122C148 133 152 158 156 180C162 212 173 259 194 332C201 357 206 384 206 405C206 430 198 448 174 448C125 448 66 406 23 342L43 319C84 368 110 383 121 383C126 383 128 382 128 377C128 370 127 359 122 343C99 268 84 204 77 156C74 137 70 111 70 104C70 25 125 -12 180 -12C228 -12 276 12 319 50C338 8 378 -12 418 -12C549 -12 689 166 689 332Z" id="g113-120"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="712" vert-adv-y="712"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M357 391C357 416 325 451 270 451C241 451 179 431 146 400C109 365 97 334 97 307C97 248 143 213 196 180C250 146 261 123 261 101C261 75 237 40 190 40C153 40 110 72 86 109C81 116 68 119 55 112C37 102 24 87 24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 164 309 164 346C164 381 194 400 220 400C259 400 282 380 304 350C310 342 321 339 330 344C347 353 357 372 357 391Z" id="g50-116"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="381" vert-adv-y="381"></glyph.data></g></svg></td><td class="align_center">−0.11 (88)</td><td class="align_center">−0.49 (11)</td><td class="align_center">−0.05 (37)</td></tr><tr class="table-tr"><td colspan="4"><hr class="tbody-hr"/></td></tr></table></td></tr></table>

The correlation coefficients among olr, <svg height="6.1673pt" id="M25" style="vertical-align:-0.2063904pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 7.11985 6.1673" width="7.11985pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M515 96L502 119C471 88 431 62 423 62C416 62 411 70 417 101C440 223 469 341 497 448H486L412 422L380 277C330 188 210 57 152 57C137 57 126 69 139 124L195 366C210 431 205 448 182 448C155 448 89 413 23 350L36 326C73 354 103 376 112 376C118 376 118 365 113 340L61 118C54 90 52 68 52 51C52 0 75 -12 98 -12S151 -3 181 17C242 58 305 119 362 193H364L345 104C323 3 339 -12 359 -12C390 -12 464 35 515 96Z" id="g113-118"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="538" vert-adv-y="538"></glyph.data></g></svg>, and <svg height="9.25202pt" id="M26" style="vertical-align:-3.29111pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -5.96091 13.0424 9.25202" width="13.0424pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M689 332C689 394 670 448 646 448C620 448 597 421 597 396C597 386 600 381 608 372C619 359 620 334 620 315C620 150 538 45 454 45C414 45 386 67 386 122C386 138 388 158 394 180L457 426L452 432L377 416L315 156C302 100 259 45 216 45C176 45 148 67 148 122C148 133 152 158 156 180C162 212 173 259 194 332C201 357 206 384 206 405C206 430 198 448 174 448C125 448 66 406 23 342L43 319C84 368 110 383 121 383C126 383 128 382 128 377C128 370 127 359 122 343C99 268 84 204 77 156C74 137 70 111 70 104C70 25 125 -12 180 -12C228 -12 276 12 319 50C338 8 378 -12 418 -12C549 -12 689 166 689 332Z" id="g113-120"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="712" vert-adv-y="712"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,8.931,3.132)"><path d="M357 391C357 416 325 451 270 451C241 451 179 431 146 400C109 365 97 334 97 307C97 248 143 213 196 180C250 146 261 123 261 101C261 75 237 40 190 40C153 40 110 72 86 109C81 116 68 119 55 112C37 102 24 87 24 66C24 30 85 -12 137 -12C229 -12 331 62 331 140C331 189 304 218 236 260C197 284 164 309 164 346C164 381 194 400 220 400C259 400 282 380 304 350C310 342 321 339 330 344C347 353 357 372 357 391Z" id="g50-116"></path><glyph.data ascent="3443" descent="-2856" horiz-adv-x="381" vert-adv-y="381"></glyph.data></g></svg> used in regression model during three periods. The number in the bracket represents the effective number <svg height="14.4258pt" id="M27" style="vertical-align:-2.268101pt" version="1.1" viewbox="-0.0498162 -12.1577 30.6046 14.4258" width="30.6046pt" xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink"><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,0,0)"><path d="M300 -147C201 -63 143 98 143 270S200 602 300 686L282 710C136 610 70 450 70 271V270C70 89 136 -72 282 -170L300 -147Z" id="g113-41"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,4.498,0)"><path d="M822 650H589L583 622C660 617 677 607 674 561C672 534 664 481 647 390L600 137H596L273 650H126L120 622C176 620 194 615 207 594C221 571 225 557 214 504L161 257C141 166 129 112 121 85C108 42 83 30 29 28L23 0H260L266 28C193 33 173 42 176 89C178 122 186 172 202 255L256 527H259L583 -8H612L690 390C708 481 720 535 728 558C744 603 756 619 816 622L822 650Z" id="g113-79"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="839" vert-adv-y="839"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,15.408,-5.741)"><path d="M384 109C349 76 310 59 268 59C197 59 123 113 120 245C240 248 367 259 384 262C403 266 407 275 407 296C407 376 338 451 254 451H253C201 451 148 425 105 378C65 334 39 272 39 203C39 88 112 -12 235 -12C266 -12 339 5 402 84L384 109ZM230 411C285 411 319 365 319 313C319 298 313 293 294 293C236 291 180 290 125 290C141 370 185 411 230 411Z" id="g58-99"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="434" vert-adv-y="434"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.0091,0,0,-0.0091,19.358,-5.741)"><path d="M100 439H52L25 408L28 396H100V106C100 41 92 35 31 30V0H250V29C188 37 181 41 181 106V396H372V107C372 40 365 37 309 29V0H537V29C461 37 453 40 453 106V396H564C576 403 579 428 574 439H453V469C452 558 462 604 474 623S500 656 527 656C562 656 589 634 608 615C619 604 628 607 639 615C647 622 658 633 661 641C666 653 664 664 656 674C637 696 609 708 572 710C528 703 483 682 439 638C418 661 380 685 320 688C269 683 230 666 190 633C139 593 122 550 113 525S100 476 100 451V439ZM372 439H181V461C181 530 194 571 211 598C226 621 248 643 287 643C343 643 379 607 400 578C391 561 384 546 381 529C376 510 372 486 372 457V439Z" id="g58-26"></path><glyph.data ascent="1007" descent="-369" horiz-adv-x="572" vert-adv-y="572"></glyph.data></g><g transform="matrix(.013,0,0,-0.013,25.936,0)"><path d="M275 270C275 450 212 609 64 710L45 686C145 604 203 442 203 270S147 -63 45 -147L64 -170C213 -68 275 89 275 270Z" id="g113-42"></path><glyph.data ascent="3473" descent="-2876" horiz-adv-x="346" vert-adv-y="346"></glyph.data></g></svg> of DOF.

Advances in Meteorology

An Analysis of Tropical Cold-Point Tropopause Warming in 1999

Table 1