Research Article

Solar Radiation Models and Gridded Databases to Fill Gaps in Weather Series and to Project Climate Change in Brazil

Table 3

Statistical evaluation of daily gridded databases for maximum air temperature (Tmax), minimum air temperature (Tmin), solar radiation (Qg), rainfall (Rain), relative humidity (RH), and wind speed (WS2m), considering 31 locations in Brazil.

VariableDatabaseIndexes
r2dcClassificationBias (°C)MAE (°C)

TmaxAgCFSR0.770.930.82Very good0.471.88
AgMERRA0.760.930.81Very good−0.371.86
NASA/POWER0.680.890.73Good−1.182.46
XAVIER1.001.001.00Great−0.030.17

r2dcClassificationBias (°C)MAE (°C)

TminAgCFSR0.800.940.84Very good0.711.63
AgMERRA0.820.950.86Great0.081.45
NASA/POWER0.770.930.82Very good0.761.74
XAVIER0.980.990.98Great0.060.30

r2dcClassificationBias (MJ·m−2·d−1)MAE (MJ·m−2·d−1)

QgAgCFSR0.640.890.71Good−0.662.65
AgMERRA0.640.880.71Good−1.322.79
NASA/POWER0.760.930.81Very good−0.582.19
XAVIER0.940.970.94Great−1.191.57

r2dcClassificationBias (mm·d−1)MAE (mm·d−1)

RainAgCFSR0.160.600.24Terrible−0.034.88
AgMERRA0.250.670.33Terrible−0.034.48
NASA/POWER0.200.650.29Terrible0.124.86
XAVIER0.880.960.90Great−0.101.51

r2dcClassificationBias (%)MAE (%)

RHAgCFSR0.520.790.57Suffering−2.4314.43
AgMERRA0.380.720.45Bad−6.6717.06
NASA/POWER0.550.820.61Median−6.7511.14
XAVIER0.900.970.92Great0.183.76

r2dcClassificationBias (m·s−1)MAE (m·s−1)

WS2mAgCFSR0.100.560.18Terrible0.170.83
AgMERRA0.080.530.15Terrible0.540.98
NASA/POWER0.140.690.21Terrible0.640.86
XAVIER0.470.790.54Suffering0.220.49