Research Article

Simulation-Based Analysis of Trial Design in Regional Anesthesia

Table 1

Input data for simulation analyses, based on published meta-analyses of nerve blocks.

Input parameterDefinitionValueComments

Starting trial sample sizeSample size sufficient for standard statistical techniques30As recommended in a prior publication [20]
Large trial sample size90th percentile of largest trial size included in published meta-analyses256Rounded up to nearest multiple of 2
Population effect sizeMedian absolute effect size among published meta-analyses0.77On a previous systematic review, median effect size for quantitative outcomes was 0.8 [21]
SD of effect sizeMedian of the 95% CI half-width divided by 1.960.27Similar to previously published IQR of effect sizes for quantitative outcomes (0.6–1.0) [21]
Minimum effect size deemed clinically relevant10th percentile of the absolute effect sizes among published meta-analyses0.110.10–0.34 is considered a small effect size;
0.35–0.64 is considered a medium effect size; 0.65–1.19 is considered a large effect size [22]
Number of trials needed for earliest meta-analysis10th percentile of the number of trials among published meta-analyses4
Number of trials needed for next meta-analysisSD of number of trials, among published meta-analyses6
Number of trials needed to reach saturation of the literature90th percentile of the number of trials among published meta-analyses16On a previous systematic review, the median meta-analysis included 16 trials (IQR: 10, 28) [23]

CI, confidence interval; IQR, interquartile range; SD, standard deviation.