|
Parameters | Definition | Value | Std | Source |
|
| Transmission probability of HIV per high-risk behavior | — | — | — |
| Contact rate per year | — | — | — |
| Protection rate by intervention measures (condom use) | — | — | — |
| Transmission coefficient, | 0.8578 | 0.013 | MCMC |
| Modification factor for HIV infected individuals with | 0.7224 | — | [5] |
| Modification factor for HIV infected individuals with | 0.4177 | — | [5] |
| Modification factor for HIV infected individuals with and receiving antiviral therapy | 0.3507 | — | — |
| Modification factor for HIV infected individuals with and receiving antiviral therapy | 0.3507 | 0.028 | MCMC |
| Modification factor for AIDS patients with antiviral therapy | 0.2495 | 0.028 | MCMC |
| Recruitment rate of susceptible | | 20764 | MCMC |
| Natural death rate | 0.0149 | — | [11] |
| Exit rate of susceptible | 0.025 | — | — |
| Diagnose rate | 0.0799 | 0.020 | MCMC |
| Proportion of diagnosed HIV-positive individuals | 0.8820 | 0.006 | MCMC |
| Proportion of diagnosed HIV-positive individuals with | 0.5879 | — | [10] |
| Proportion of diagnosed HIV-positive individuals with | 0.2939 | — | [10] |
| Progression rate from to | 1/6 | — | [10] |
| Progression rate from to | 1/3 | — | [10] |
| Progression rate from to | 1/12 | — | [12] |
| Progression rate from to | 1/6 | — | [12] |
| Antiviral therapy coverage rate for HIV-positive individuals with | 0 | — | — |
| Antiviral therapy coverage rate for HIV-positive individuals with | 0.2 | — | [13, 14] |
| Disease-related death rate for HIV infected individuals without receiving antiviral therapy | 0.172 | — | [15] |
| Disease-related death rate for HIV infected individuals with antiviral therapy | 0.06 | — | [15, 16] |
| Disease-related death for AIDS patients with antiviral therapy | 0.136 | — | [16, 17] |
| Initial value of (high-risk susceptible) | | 87285 | MCMC |
| Initial value of (individuals living with undiagnosed HIV) | 5988 | 1274 | MCMC |
| Initial value of (HIV-positive individuals with ) | 99 | — | Database |
| Initial value of (HIV-positive individuals with ) | 49 | — | Database |
| Initial value of (AIDS patients diagnosed at onset of AIDS symptoms) | 53 | — | Database |
| Initial value of (HIV-positive individuals with and receiving therapy) | 0 | — | Database |
| Initial value of (HIV-positive individuals with and receiving therapy) | 0 | — | Database |
| Initial value of (AIDS patients diagnosed before onset of AIDS symptoms) | 0 | — | Database |
| The basic reproduction number | 3.8840 | 0.097 | Calculated |
|