Research Article

Potential Impact of a Free Online HIV Treatment Response Prediction System for Reducing Virological Failures and Drug Costs after Antiretroviral Therapy Failure in a Resource-Limited Setting

Table 3

Results of in silico modelling of alternative regimens.

Analysis Sample
All ( )Failures ( )

(1) No. (%) of cases for which the models were able to identify alternative regimens which were predicted to be effective206 (100%)74 (100%)
(2) No. (%) of category 1 alternatives with a higher estimated probability of response than those of the regimen used in the clinic175 (85%)65 (88%)
(3) No. (%) of category 2 alternatives where one or more of the alternatives were less costly than those of the regimen used in the clinic175 (100%)65 (100%)
(4) Mean number of alternatives in category 3 108
(5) The mean cost saving from the median costing alternative in category 4 for each patient (95% CI)$364 ($332, $395)$421 ($361, $481)
(6) The mean percentage cost saving of the above41% (38%, 45%)45% (38%, 51%)
(7) The mean cost saving of the least expensive option from category 3 for each patient (95% CI)$555 ($509, $601)$638 ($554, $723)
(8) The mean percentage cost saving of the above63% (61%, 65%)68% (64%, 71%)