Research Article
Evaluation of Influenza Vaccination Efficacy: A Universal Epidemic Model
Table 3
Comparison of aftermath of seasonal influenza epidemic under optimized conditions at different vaccination coverage.
| Parameters | Nominal “cost” of parameter | Before optimization | In optimized conditions at the upper limit of rate of immune people | 50% | 60% | 70% |
| Total number of infected persons | 100 | 1879 | 361–439 | 199–214 | 150–159 | Total number of lethal cases | 1000000 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | Person days of isolated patients | 1 | 1410 | 23–161 | 0–22 | 0–6 | Person days of observed contacts | 0.1 | 5041 | 0–521 | 0 | 0 | Epidemic “cost”: expenses + losses in nominal units | | 6014424 | 202259–237887 | 190582–191680 | 91074–91276 |
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