Combined Prediction Model of Death Toll for Road Traffic Accidents Based on Independent and Dependent Variables

Table 2

Predicted value by Verhulst model of traffic accident fatalities in China from 2002 to 2011.

Year	Fatalities/person	Predicted value/person	Relative error/%
2002	109381	109381	0
2003	104372	104176	0.188
2004	99217	98859	0.361
2005	98738	93468	5.337
2006	89455	88042	1.580
2007	81649	82621	1.190
2008	73484	77246	5.119
2009	67159	71955	7.141
2010	65225	66785	2.392
2011	62387	61769	0.991
Comprehensive error			2.700