Uncertainty Quantification in Simulations of Epidemics Using Polynomial Chaos

Figure 3

Influence of transmission parameters uncertainty on obesity epidemic prediction. Polynomial chaos-based Sobol indices. (a) 𝛽 influence on obese population, 𝑆𝑈_𝛽; (b) 𝛾 influence on obese population, 𝑆𝑈_𝛾; (c) 𝜖 influence on obese population, 𝑆𝑈_𝜖; (d) 𝜌 influence on obese population, 𝑆𝑈_𝜌.

(a)

(b)

(c)

(d)