Model Selection and Evaluation Based on Emerging Infectious Disease Data Sets including A/H1N1 and Ebola

Figure 2

(a) Model selection based on the accumulate cases data from the 8th Hospital of Xi’an from 3 September to 21 September with the last 2000-group parameters of Markov chain; (b) model fitting of A/H1N1 data in Xi’an, 2009. The curves represent the fitting to the data for four models, respectively. The grey areas are the 95% confidence intervals of each curve. Here, cyan curve represents Logistic model; blue curve represents Gompertz model; red curve represents Rosenzweig model; black curve represents Richards model. Note that the cyan curve and black curve almost coincide.

(a)

(b)