Department of Mathematics, Computer & Information Sciences, Mississippi Valley State University, Itta Bena, MS 38941, USA
We study the Kaldor-Kalecki model of business cycles
with delay in both the gross product and the capital stock. Simple-zero
and double-zero singularities are investigated when bifurcation parameters
change near certain critical values. By performing center manifold
reduction, the normal forms on the center manifold are derived to obtain
the bifurcation diagrams of the model such as Hopf, homoclinic and
double limit cycle bifurcations. Some examples are given to confirm the
theoretical results.
1. Introduction
In the last decade, the study of delayed differential equations that arose in business cycles has received much attention. The first model of business cycles can be traced back to Kaldor [1] who used a system of ordinary differential equations to study business cycles in 1940 by proposing nonlinear investment and saving functions so that the system may have cyclic behaviors or limit cycles, which are important from the point of view of economics. Kalecki [2] introduced the idea that there is a time delay for investment before a business decision. Krawiec and Szydłowski [3–5] incorporated the idea of Kalecki into the model of Kaldor by proposing the following Kaldor-Kalecki model of business cycles:
where is the gross product, is the capital stock, is the adjustment coefficient in the goods market, is the depreciation rate of capital stock, and are investment and saving functions, and is a time lag representing delay for the investment due to the past investment decision. This model has been studied extensively by many authors; see [6–11]. Several authors also discussed similar models [12–14] and established the existence of limit cycles.
Considering that past investment decisions [6] also influence the change in the capital stock, Kaddar and Talibi Alaoui [15] extended the model (1.1) by imposing delays in both the gross product and capital stock. Thus adding the same delay to the capital stock in the investment function of the second equation of Sys. (1.1) leads to the following Kaldor-Kalecki model of business cycles:
As in [3]; also see [10, 16, 17], using the following saving and investment functions and , respectively,
where and are constants, we obtain the following system:
Kaddar and Talibi Alaoui [15] studied the characteristic equation of the linear part of Sys. (1.4) at an equilibrium point and used the delay as a bifurcation parameter to show that the Hopf bifurcation may occur under some conditions as passes some critical values. However, they did not obtain the stability of the bifurcating limit cycles and the direction of the Hopf bifurcation. Wang and Wu [18] further studied Sys. (1.4) and gave a more detailed discussion of the distribution of the eigenvalues of the characteristic equation which has a pair of purely imaginary roots. They derived the normal forms on the center manifold for sys. (1.4) to give the direction of the Hopf bifurcation and the stability of the bifurcating limit cycles for some critical values of .
However, under certain conditions, the characteristic equation of the linear part of Sys. (1.4) may have a simple-zero root, a double-zero root, or a simple zero root and a pair of purely imaginary roots. In this paper, simple-zero (fold) and double-zero (Bogdanov-Takens) singularities for Sys. (1.4) and their corresponding dynamical behaviors are investigated by using and as bifurcation parameters (where is defined in Section 2). The discussion of zero-Hopf singularity will be addressed in a coming paper.
The rest of this manuscript is organized as follows. In Section 2, a detailed presentation is given for the distribution of eigenvalues of the linear part of Sys. (1.4) at an equilibrium point in the -parameter space. In Section 3, the theory of center manifold reduction for general delayed differential equations (DDEs) is briefly introduced. In Sections 4 and 5, center manifold reduction is performed for Sys. (1.4); and hence, the normal forms for simple-zero and double-zero singularities are obtained on the center manifold, respectively. In Section 6, the normal forms for the double-zero singularity are used to predict the bifurcation diagrams such as Hopf, homoclinic, and double limit cycle bifurcations for the original Sys. of (1.4). Finally in Section 7, some numerical simulations are presented to confirm the theoretical results.
2. Distribution of Eigenvalues
Throughout the rest of this paper, we assume that
and that is an equilibrium point of Sys. (1.4). Let , , , and . Then Sys. (1.4) can be transformed as
Let the Taylor expansion of at 0 be
where
The linear part of Sys. (2.2) at is
and the corresponding characteristic equation is
where
For , (2.6) becomes
Define
Theorem 2.1. Let . If , then all roots of (2.8) have negative real parts, and hence is asymptotically stable. If , then (2.8) has a positive root and a negative root, and hence, is unstable.
Now assume . Clearly if and only if . Next we always assume that . It is easy to attain
Define . Then we have that,
Define
Hence if , , and hence , and if , , and hence if and only if . Also if and only if . Thus we obtain the following result.
Lemma 2.2. Suppose that . Then the following are considered. (i)If , then (2.6) has a simple root 0 for all . (ii)Let . Then the following are given. (a)Equation (2.6) has a simple root 0 if and only if , (b)Equation (2.6) has a double root 0 if and only if and .
Let () be a purely imaginary root of (2.6). After plugging it into (2.6) and separating the real and imaginary parts, we have that
Adding squares of two equations yields
Then (2.14) has a nonzero solution if and only if and does not have a nonzero solution if and only if . If , from (2.14), we solve as follows:
and from (2.13), we solve , as:
Define
From (2.16), we obtain
Clearly if , then has two positive roots, and if , then . Now, under , we impose the following conditions:
(H1), , (H2), , , (H3), , , (H4), , ,(H5), , ,(H6), , ,(H7), , .
Based on Lemma 2.2, we have the following result.
Lemma 2.3. Suppose that and . Then the following are obtained. (i)Under one of the conditions (H1), (H2), and (H4), (2.6) has a simple zero root and does not have other roots in the imaginary axis.(ii)Under the condition (H5), (2.6) has a simple zero root and a pair of purely imaginary roots in the imaginary axis if , (iii)Under one of the conditions (H3) and (H6), then (2.6) has a double root 0 and does not have other roots in the imaginary axis. (iv)Under the condition (H7), (2.6) has a double zero root and a pair of purely imaginary roots in the imaginary axis if for some .
Now we use the roots of , to give a more detailed discussion for the roots of (2.6). Define
Clearly is the positive root of and , are two positive roots of if . Note that if if , if , or then if . Also note that as well as if , . In fact it is based on the following calculation:
Thus for , we always have . Noting that , we have the following result.
Lemma 2.4. Let . Then the following are given. (i)Suppose that . Then for , then (2.6) has a simple zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. (ii)Suppose that . If , then (2.6) has a simple zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. And if , (2.6) has a double zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. (iii)Suppose that . If , then (2.6) has a simple zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. If , then (2.6) has a double zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. And if , then (2.6) has a double zero root and has a pair of purely imaginary roots. (iv)Suppose that . Then if , then (2.6) has a simple zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. If , then (2.6) has a double zero root and does not have roots in the imaginary axis. If , then (2.6) has a double zero root and has a pair of purely imaginary roots when for some . And if , (2.6) has a double zero root and does not have a pair of purely imaginary roots.
Define to be the root of (2.6) such that and . Then we have the following result.
Lemma 2.5. Suppose that and . Then .
Proof. Differentiating (2.6) with respect to yields
and a simple calculation gives
which gives
thus completing the proof.
Next we discuss the distribution of other roots of (2.6). We need the following lemma due to Ruan and Wei [19].
Lemma 2.6. Consider the exponential polynomial
where , are real polynomials such that and . As varies, the sum of the order of zeros of on the open right half-plane can change only if a zero appears on or crosses the imaginary axis.
Lemma 2.7. Let and . Then, the following are obtained. (i)If , then all roots of (2.6) except 0 and purely imaginary roots have negative real parts,(ii)If , then (2.6) has at least one positive root.
Proof. Note that, for , if or , has a zero root and a negative root. Using Lemmas 2.2 and 2.6, we obtain claim (i). For , has a zero root and a positive root if or . For , let
Also noting that when , we have that
and . This proves the second part of the lemma and completes the proof of the lemma.
3. Center Manifold Reduction
In this section, we briefly summarize the theory of center manifold reduction for general DDEs. The material is mainly taken from [20, 21]. Consider the following DDE:
where , . This equation is equivalent to
which can be written as
where , , and . Define with supreme norm and is defined by , ; is a bounded linear operator; and is a function with , . Consider the following linear system:
Since is a bounded linear operator, then can be represented by a Riemann-Stieltjes integral
by the Riesz representation theorem, where () is an matrix function of bounded variation. Let be the infinitesimal generator for the solution semigroup defined by Sys. (3.4) such that
Define the bilinear form between and (where is the space of all row -vectors) by
The adjoint of is defined by as
In our setting, (3.3) has trivial components. Assume that the characteristic equation of (3.3) has eigenvalue zero with multiplicity and all other eigenvalues have negative real parts. Then has a generalized eigenspace which is invariant under the flow (3.4). Let be the space adjoint with in . Then can be decomposed as where , . Choose the bases and for and , respectively, such that
where is Jordan matrix associated with the eigenvalue 0.
To consider Sys. (3.3), we need to enlarge the space to the following :
The elements of can be expressed as with and
where is the identity matrix. Define the projection by
Then the enlarged phase space can be decomposed as Let with and . Then (3.3) can be decomposed as
where is an extension of the infinitesimal generator from to , defined by
for and its adjoint by is defined by
for . Let . Then Sys. (3.13) becomes
where
On the center manifold, (3.16) can be approximated as
4. Simple-Zero Singularity
In this section, we assume that the condition (H2) holds. From the definition of , we know that if and only if . Therefore (H2) is equivalent to
From (ii) of Lemma 2.4 and (ii) of Lemma 2.7, we know that, at , the characteristic equation of the linear part of Sys. (2.5) has a simple zero root and the rest of roots have negative parts. We treat as a bifurcation parameter near .
Set , . Let . Then Sys. (2.5) can be rewritten as
The linearization of Sys. (4.2) at is
Let where
Let and
Define
Then Sys. (4.2) becomes
From (3.7), the bilinear form can be expressed as
It is not hard to see that the infinitesimal generator is given by
for and its adjoint by