About this Journal Submit a Manuscript Table of Contents
Discrete Dynamics in Nature and Society
Volume 2012 (2012), Article ID 789140, 11 pages
Research Article

Distinguishing between Rural and Urban Road Segment Traffic Safety Based on Zero-Inflated Negative Binomial Regression Models

1MOE Key Laboratory for Transportation Complex Systems Theory and Technology, School of Traffic and Transportation, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, China
2Saint Louis County Highways and Traffic and Public Works, 121 South Meramec Avenue, Saint Louis, MO 63105, China

Received 3 August 2012; Accepted 15 October 2012

Academic Editor: Wuhong Wang

Copyright © 2012 Xuedong Yan et al. This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.

Linked References

  1. M. S. Eberhardt, D. D. Ingram, and D. M. Makuc, Urban and Rural Health Chart-Book. Health, United States, 2001, National Center for Health Statistics, Hyattsville, Md, USA, 2001. View at Zentralblatt MATH
  2. L. Kmet, P. Brasher, and C. Macarthur, “A small area study of motor vehicle crash fatalities in Alberta, Canada,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 35, no. 2, pp. 177–182, 2003. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  3. R. P. Gonzalez, G. R. Cummings, H. A. Phelan, S. Harlin, M. Mulekar, and C. B. Rodning, “Increased rural vehicular mortality rates: roadways with higher speed limits or excessive vehicular speed?” The Journal of Trauma, vol. 63, no. 6, pp. 1360–1363, 2007. View at Scopus
  4. L. H. Brown, A. Khanna, and R. C. Hunt, “Rural versus urban motor vehicle crash death rates: 20 Years of FARS data,” Prehospital Emergency Care, vol. 4, no. 1, pp. 7–13, 2000. View at Scopus
  5. D. A. Borgialli, E. M. Hill, R. F. Maio, C. P. Compton, and M. A. Gregor, “Effects of alcohol on the geographic variation of driver fatalities in motor vehicle crashes,” Academic Emergency Medicine, vol. 7, no. 1, pp. 7–13, 2000. View at Scopus
  6. M. E. Rakauskas, N. J. Ward, and S. G. Gerberich, “Identification of differences between rural and urban safety cultures,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 41, no. 5, pp. 931–937, 2009. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  7. M. A. Abdel-Aty and A. E. Radwan, “Modeling traffic accident occurrence and involvement,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 32, no. 5, pp. 633–642, 2000. View at Scopus
  8. C. Zwerling, C. Peek-Asa, P. S. Whitten, S. W. Choi, N. L. Sprince, and M. P. Jones, “Fatal motor vehicle crashes in rural and urban areas: decomposing rates into contributing factors,” Injury Prevention, vol. 11, no. 1, pp. 24–28, 2005. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  9. X. Jiang, X. Yan, B. Huang, and S. H. Richards, “Influence of curbs on traffic crash frequency on high-speed roadways,” Traffic Injury Prevention, vol. 12, no. 4, pp. 412–421, 2011. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  10. M. Leff, L. Stallones, T. J. Keefe, R. Rosenblatt, and M. Reeds, “Comparison of urban and rural non-fatal injury: the results of a statewide survey,” Injury Prevention, vol. 9, no. 4, pp. 332–337, 2003. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  11. L. Aarts and I. van Schagen, “Driving speed and the risk of road crashes: a review,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 38, no. 2, pp. 215–224, 2006. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  12. C. Y. Chan, B. Huang, X. Yan, and S. Richards, “Effects of asphalt pavement conditions on traffic accidents in tennessee utilizing pavement management system,” in Proceedings of the 88th TRB Annual Meeting, Washington, DC, USA, 2009.
  13. P. J. Cooper, “The relationship between speeding behaviour (as measured by violation convictions) and crash involvement,” Journal of Safety Research, vol. 28, no. 2, pp. 83–95, 1997. View at Scopus
  14. N. J. Garber and A. A. Ehrhart, “Effect of speed, flow, and geometric characteristics on crash frequency for two-lane highways,” Transportation Research Record, vol. 1717, pp. 76–83, 2000. View at Scopus
  15. C. N. Kloeden, A. J. McLean, and G. Glonek, “Reanalysis of travelling speed and the rate of crash involvement in Adelaide South Australia,” Tech. Rep. CR 207, Australian Transport Safety Bureau ATSB, Canberra, Australia, 2002.
  16. J. Milton and F. Mannering, “The relationship among highway geometrics, traffic-related elements and motor-vehicle accident frequencies,” Transportation, vol. 25, no. 2–4, pp. 395–413, 1998. View at Scopus
  17. H. Renski, A. J. Khattak, and F. M. Council, “Effect of speed limit increases on crash injury severity: analysis of single-vehicle crashes on North Carolina Interstate highways,” Transportation Research Record, no. 1665, pp. 100–108, 1999. View at Scopus
  18. S. P. Miaou, “The relationship between truck accidents and geometric design of road sections: poisson versus negative binomial regressions,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 26, no. 4, pp. 471–482, 1994. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  19. H. Huang and H. C. Chin, “Modeling road traffic crashes with zero-inflation and site-specific random effects,” Statistical Methods & Applications, vol. 19, no. 3, pp. 445–462, 2010. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar
  20. V. N. Shankar, F. L. Mannering, and W. Barfield, “Effect of roadway geometrics and environmental factors on rural freeway accident frequencies,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 27, no. 3, pp. 371–389, 1995. View at Scopus
  21. A. Vogt and J. Bared, “Accident models for two-lane rural segments and intersections,” Transportation Research Record, vol. 1635, pp. 18–29, 1998. View at Scopus
  22. J. Carson and F. Mannering, “The effect of ice warning signs on ice-accident frequencies and severities,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 33, no. 1, pp. 99–109, 2001. View at Scopus
  23. D. Lord, S. P. Washington, and J. N. Ivan, “Poisson, poisson-gamma and zero-inflated regression models of motor vehicle crashes: balancing statistical fit and theory,” Accident Analysis and Prevention, vol. 37, no. 1, pp. 35–46, 2005. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  24. D. Fletcher, “Geographic information systems for transportation: a look forward,” in Transportation in the New Millenium: State of the Art and Future Directions, Transportation Research Board, CDROM, Washington, DC, USA, 2000.
  25. X. Qiaojun, P. Fuquan, L. Jian, Z. Guoqiang, and W. C. Eidson, “GIS-based traffic safety management for highway intersections,” in Proceedings of the 1st International Symposium on Transportation and Development Innovative Best Practices (TDIBP '08), pp. 198–203, American Society of Civil Engineers, Beijing, China, April 2008. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  26. S. Fang, Z. Yang, and Y. Chen, “Design of GIS-based road safety information management system,” Journal of Tongji University, vol. 34, no. 5, pp. 629–633, 2006. View at Scopus
  27. B. Persaud and L. Dzbik, “Accident prediction models for freeways,” Transportation Research Record, vol. 1401, pp. 55–60, 1993. View at Scopus
  28. B. N. Fildes and S. J. Lee, “The speed review: road environment, behavior, speed limits, enforcement and crashes,” Tech. Rep. CR 127 (FORS) CR 3/93 (RSB), Federal Office of Road Safety and the Road Safety Bureau, Roads and Traffic Authority of New South Wales, New South Wales, Australia, 1993.
  29. G. Nilsson, Traffic Safety Dimensions and the Power Model to Describe the Effect of Speed on Safety, vol. 221 of Bulletin, Lund Institute of Technology, Lund, Sweden, 2004.
  30. A. Das, M. Abdel-Aty, and A. Pande, “Using conditional inference forests to identify the factors affecting crash severity on arterial corridors,” Journal of Safety Research, vol. 40, no. 4, pp. 317–327, 2009. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  31. B. P. Y. Loo, W. S. Cheung, and S. Yao, “The rural-urban divide in road safety: the case of China,” The Open Transportation Journal, vol. 5, pp. 9–20, 2011. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar
  32. M. Y. Renwick, G. G. Olsen, and M. S. Tyrrell, “Road fatalities in rural New South Wales. Weighing the causes,” Medical Journal of Australia, vol. 1, no. 7, pp. 291–294, 1982. View at Scopus
  33. J. P. Thouez, M. F. Joly, A. Rannou, Y. Bussiere, and R. Bourbeau, “Geographical variations of motor-vehicle injuries in Quebec, 1983–1988,” Social Science and Medicine, vol. 33, no. 4, pp. 415–421, 1991. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus
  34. S. Eiksund, “A geographical perspective on driving attitudes and behaviour among young adults in urban and rural Norway,” Safety Science, vol. 47, no. 4, pp. 529–536, 2009. View at Publisher · View at Google Scholar · View at Scopus