Research Article

Incorporating Overconfidence into Real Option Decision-Making Model of Metal Mineral Resources Mining Project

Table 1

Main technical and economic parameters of the copper mining project.

Input parametersUnitsValue

Initial investment ( )RMB billion yuan9.3
Cost of production ( )RMB yuan/ton8967.54
Yearly production of copper ore ( )Ton1010000
Risk-free interest rate ( )%3.48
Twin security’s volatility ( )%22.46
Noise factor’s volatility ( )%31.4
Overconfidence coefficient ( )Dimensionless0.5
Yearly convenience yield ( )%1.48
Life span of the project ( )Year20
Initial price of copperRMB yuan/ton28950