Research Article
Incorporating Overconfidence into Real Option Decision-Making Model of Metal Mineral Resources Mining Project
Table 2
Simulation result under different overconfidence coefficient (
).
| Overconfidence coefficient | Trigger value | Option value |
| 0.05 | 3.995 × 1011 | 3.902 × 1011 | 0.10 | 4.144 × 1011 | 4.051 × 1011 | 0.15 | 4.258 × 1011 | 4.165 × 1011 | 0.20 | 4.353 × 1011 | 4.260 × 1011 | 0.25 | 4.434 × 1011 | 4.341 × 1011 | 0.30 | 4.505 × 1011 | 4.412 × 1011 | 0.35 | 4.568 × 1011 | 4.475 × 1011 | 0.40 | 4.625 × 1011 | 4.532 × 1011 | 0.45 | 4.677 × 1011 | 4.584 × 1011 | 0.50 | 4.724 × 1011 | 4.631 × 1011 | 0.55 | 4.767 × 1011 | 4.674 × 1011 | 0.60 | 4.807 × 1011 | 4.714 × 1011 | 0.65 | 4.843 × 1011 | 4.750 × 1011 | 0.70 | 4.878 × 1011 | 4.785 × 1011 | 0.75 | 4.909 × 1011 | 4.816 × 1011 | 0.80 | 4.939 × 1011 | 4.846 × 1011 | 0.85 | 4.967 × 1011 | 4.874 × 1011 | 0.90 | 4.993 × 1011 | 4.900 × 1011 | 0.95 | 5.017 × 1011 | 4.924 × 1011 | 1.00 | 5.040 × 1011 | 4.947 × 1011 |
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