Research Article
Dynamic CGE Model and Simulation Analysis on the Impact of Citizenization of Rural Migrant Workers on the Labor and Capital Markets in China
Table 2
The total employment (% change deviation from baseline).
| | 2011 | 2012 | 2013 | 2014 | 2015 | 2016 | 2017 | 2018 | 2019 | 2020 |
| Total employment | 0.10 | 0.25 | 0.38 | 0.47 | 0.54 | 0.45 | 0.31 | 0.18 | 0.09 | 0.05 |
| Primary industry | 0.01 | −0.01 | −0.11 | −0.26 | −0.46 | −0.72 | −0.95 | −1.11 | −1.20 | −1.23 |
|
Secondary industry1 | 0.19 | 0.51 | 0.87 | 1.21 | 1.53 | 1.61 | 1.54 | 1.43 | 1.34 | 1.26 | MotorVhc | 0.35 | 0.81 | 1.22 | 1.57 | 1.86 | 1.78 | 1.57 | 1.39 | 1.28 | 1.21 | ElecCommsEqp | 0.30 | 0.77 | 1.30 | 1.83 | 2.34 | 2.49 | 2.43 | 2.30 | 2.17 | 2.05 | Meters | 0.21 | 0.62 | 1.16 | 1.76 | 2.38 | 2.73 | 2.84 | 2.83 | 2.76 | 2.67 | ToysSportEqp | 0.20 | 0.60 | 1.13 | 1.71 | 2.33 | 2.68 | 2.81 | 2.82 | 2.77 | 2.70 | NFerrOre | 0.16 | 0.47 | 0.86 | 1.26 | 1.63 | 1.76 | 1.69 | 1.55 | 1.39 | 1.25 | ClothesShoes | 0.16 | 0.45 | 0.82 | 1.23 | 1.63 | 1.83 | 1.87 | 1.84 | 1.79 | 1.75 |
| Tertiary industry | 0.24 | 0.62 | 1.01 | 1.39 | 1.75 | 1.83 | 1.76 | 1.68 | 1.63 | 1.58 | Real estate | 0.45 | 1.16 | 1.94 | 2.73 | 3.51 | 3.79 | 3.77 | 3.67 | 3.57 | 3.46 | Construction | 0.43 | 0.95 | 1.36 | 1.65 | 1.84 | 1.57 | 1.20 | 0.94 | 0.80 | 0.74 | Insurance | 0.29 | 0.79 | 1.37 | 1.97 | 2.57 | 2.83 | 2.86 | 2.82 | 2.77 | 2.71 | Tourism | 0.29 | 0.74 | 1.26 | 1.77 | 2.25 | 2.40 | 2.35 | 2.22 | 2.09 | 1.97 | Health | 0.27 | 0.71 | 1.22 | 1.75 | 2.27 | 2.49 | 2.52 | 2.50 | 2.46 | 2.43 | Education | 0.23 | 0.63 | 1.10 | 1.58 | 2.07 | 2.30 | 2.35 | 2.33 | 2.31 | 2.27 |
|
|
1MotorVhc represents automobile manufacturing; ElecCommsEqp represents communications equipment manufacturing; Meters represents instrumentation industry; ToysSportEqp represents toys, sports, and entertainment goods industry; NFerrOre represents non-ferrous metal mining; ClothesShoes represents textile and garment, shoes, and hat manufacturing industry.
|