Dynamic CGE Model and Simulation Analysis on the Impact of Citizenization of Rural Migrant Workers on the Labor and Capital Markets in China
Table 4
The output of industry in 2011–2020 (% change deviation from baseline).
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Primary industry
0.01
−0.01
−0.08
−0.20
−0.36
−0.57
−0.77
−0.90
−0.98
−1.01
Farming
0.02
0.02
−0.01
−0.08
−0.18
−0.34
−0.50
−0.61
−0.68
−0.71
Forestry
0.13
0.27
0.36
0.36
0.30
0.04
−0.25
−0.48
−0.65
−0.75
Animal husbandry
−0.03
−0.13
−0.30
−0.55
−0.83
−1.14
−1.39
−1.55
−1.64
−1.67
Fishery
−0.03
−0.10
−0.23
−0.41
−0.63
−0.86
−1.05
−1.18
−1.24
−1.26
Other agricultural
0.06
0.17
0.29
0.40
0.52
0.54
0.51
0.48
0.47
0.48
Secondary industry2
0.12
0.34
0.60
0.87
1.14
1.26
1.25
1.21
1.16
1.11
NonmetalProd
0.21
0.53
0.84
1.12
1.36
1.34
1.20
1.06
0.96
0.90
FerrMetals
0.20
0.52
0.87
1.22
1.54
1.61
1.55
1.46
1.39
1.33
SpecialMac
0.20
0.52
0.88
1.25
1.60
1.71
1.68
1.61
1.54
1.49
GenpurMac
0.19
0.50
0.83
1.15
1.45
1.51
1.44
1.33
1.24
1.17
TransEquip
0.16
0.42
0.70
0.97
1.22
1.26
1.19
1.10
1.02
0.96
Tertiary industry
0.17
0.44
0.75
1.07
1.37
1.47
1.45
1.40
1.36
1.34
Construction
0.32
0.74
1.10
1.37
1.56
1.38
1.08
0.85
0.72
0.65
Health
0.22
0.58
1.00
1.44
1.89
2.09
2.13
2.12
2.10
2.08
Education
0.20
0.56
0.98
1.43
1.87
2.09
2.14
2.13
2.11
2.08
ITCompt3
0.19
0.49
0.82
1.14
1.46
1.54
1.50
1.44
1.39
1.35
Real estate
0.17
0.49
0.91
1.37
1.85
2.13
2.25
2.28
2.28
2.26
2NonmetalProd represents Non-metallic mineral manufacturing; FerrMetals represents ferrous metal smelting and rolling processing industry; SpecialMac represents special equipment manufacturing; GenpurMac represents general equipment manufacturing; TransEquip represents transportation equipment manufacturing.
3ITCompt represents information transmission, computer service, and software industry.
