Research Article
Structural Analysis and Total Coal Demand Forecast in China
Table 5
Total coal consumption forecast.
| | | BVAR Prior = 0 or 1 | BVAR Prior = 2 | ETS aggregation | ETS forecast |
| | 2011 | 238033.37 | 238033.37 | 234876 | 234475 | | 2012 | 252686.75 | 254034.07 | 247099 | 245921 | | 2013 | 268152.68 | 257667.41 | 259324 | 257366 | | 2014 | 284494.14 | 257113.39 | 271551 | 268811 | | 2015 | 301762.9 | 274627.29 | 283782 | 280256 | | 2016 | 320015.13 | 314720.65 | 296014 | 291701 | | 2017 | 339311.96 | 360700.12 | 308250 | 303146 | | 2018 | 359720.03 | 401190.03 | 320489 | 314591 | | 2019 | 381312.12 | 444913.39 | 332729 | 326037 | | 2020 | 404167.84 | 504823.69 | 344972 | 337481 |
|
|
Unit: 10000 tons of standard coal.
|
