Research on the Interaction between Innovation and Port-City Economic System: A Case from China

Table 1

The comparison between the simulation and actual value of the model’s main variables.

Variable	2008	2009	2010	2011	2012
Port-city GDP (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	778.7	884.9	1005.7	1143.0	1299.1
Actual	778.7	820.1	958.2	1159.6	1295.0
Deviation rate	0.00%	7.90%	4.96%	−1.43%	0.32%
Port throughput (10^8 Ton)
Simulation	1.963	1.909	2.021	2.135	2.252
Actual	2.113	1.936	2.215	2.238	2.281
Deviation rate	−7.10%	−1.39%	−8.76%	−4.60%	−1.27%
Fixed-asset investment (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	156.6	172.9	187.8	204.7	223.9
Actual	146.8	170.9	194.5	206.1	219.4
Deviation rate	6.68%	1.17%	−3.44%	−0.68%	2.05%
R&D funding (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	24.4	31.3	38.2	45.2	52.3
Actual	24.4	30.9	39.5	46.5	53.0
Deviation rate	0.00%	1.29%	−3.29%	−2.80%	−1.32%
Logistics industry production (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	29.8	31.7	35.4	41.0	48.4
Actual	29.8	30.9	37.9	43.7	47.1
Deviation rate	0.00%	2.59%	−6.60%	−6.18%	2.76%
Total population (10^4 people)
Simulation	954	996	1033	1063	1084
Actual	954	995	1037	1046	1054
Deviation rate	0.00%	0.10%	−0.39%	1.63%	2.85%
Researchers number (10^4 people)
Simulation	15.39	17.33	21.09	22.34	24.5
Actual	16.24	16.19	22.6	21.89	25.08
Deviation rate	−5.23%	7.04%	−6.68%	2.06%	−2.31%
Secondary industry production (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	366.5	407.8	469.5	521.7	574.6
Actual	386.0	382.7	452.3	534.3	573.7
Deviation rate	−5.05%	6.56%	3.80%	−2.36%	0.16%
Third industry production (10^9 Yuan)
Simulation	380.7	436.9	509.4	598.4	704.2
Actual	391.8	436.8	505.2	615.6	720.6
Deviation rate	−2.83%	0.02%	0.83%	−2.79%	−2.28%