Bioeconomics of Commercial Marine Fisheries of Bay of Bengal: Status and Direction

Table 3

Harvest, corresponding effort, and profit at OA, MEY, and MSY level in response to changes in the biological parameters K and r with potential changing climatic and anthropogenic scenarios with confident intervals for current scenario.

𝐾 = 40660—25%	𝑟 = 3.228—25%	𝑟 = 3.228—10%	𝑟=3.228
	Scenario 8	Scenario 7	Scenario 6
	𝐸OA = 12304	𝐸OA = 14765	𝐸OA = 16404
	𝐸MEY = 6152	𝐸MEY = 7382	𝐸MEY = 8202
	𝐸MSY = 12385	𝐸MSY = 14862	𝐸MSY = 16511
	𝐻OA = 18454	𝐻OA = 22145	𝐻OA = 24606
	𝐻MEY = 13781	𝐻MEY = 16537	𝐻MEY = 18375
	𝐻MSY = 18568.42	𝐻MSY = 22150	𝐻MSY = 24607
	∏ MEY = 227 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 273 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 304 * 10^6
	∏ MSY = −6 * 10^6	∏ MSY = −7 * 10^6	∏ MSY = −8 * 10^6
𝐾 = 40660—10%	Scenario 5	Scenario 2	Scenario 3
	𝐸OA = 14382	𝐸OA = 17258	𝐸OA = 19173
	𝐸MEY = 7191	𝐸MEY = 8629	𝐸MEY = 9587
	𝐸MSY = 12385	𝐸MSY = 14863	𝐸MSY = 16511
	𝐻OA = 21570	𝐻OA = 25884	𝐻OA = 28760
	𝐻MEY = 18251	𝐻MEY = 21901	𝐻MEY = 24335
	𝐻MSY = 22146	𝐻MSY = 26575	𝐻MSY = 29528
	∏ MEY = 373 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 448 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 498 * 10^6
	∏ MSY = 178 * 10^6	∏ MSY = 214 * 10^6	∏ MSY = 238 * 10^6
𝐾 = 40660	Scenario 4	Scenario 1	Scenario^a 0
	𝐸OA = 15421	𝐸OA = 18505	𝐸OA = 20558, [11350, 29779]
	𝐸MEY = 7710	𝐸MEY = 9252	𝐸MEY = 10282, [5675, 14889]
	𝐸MSY = 12385	𝐸MSY = 14862	𝐸MSY = 16517, [9374, 23659]
	𝐻OA = 23128	𝐻OA = 27754	𝐻OA = 30854, [8053, 53642]
	𝐻MEY = 21101	𝐻MEY = 25321	𝐻MEY = 28143, [21558, 34728]
	𝐻MSY = 24607	𝐻MSY = 29528	𝐻MSY = 32895, [17670, 47968]
	∏ MEY = 476 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 572 * 10^6	∏ MEY = 636 * 10^6
	∏ MSY = 301 * 10^6	∏ MSY = 361 * 10^6	∏ MSY = 406 * 10^6

aConfident intervals are shown in square brackets.