Comparison of Ranson, Glasgow, MOSS, SIRS, BISAP, APACHE-II, CTSI Scores, IL-6, CRP, and Procalcitonin in Predicting Severity, Organ Failure, Pancreatic Necrosis, and Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis

Table 3

AUC (area under curve) of different prognostic markers in predicting SAP, PNEC, and mortality.

AUC (95% CI)	SAP	PNEC	Mortality
Ranson	0.85 (0.76–0.92)	0.70 (0.55–0.89)	0.84 (0.75–0.94)
Glasgow	0.75 (0.63–0.86)	0.64 (0.49–0.79)	0.83 (0.73–0.93)
MOSS	0.73 (0.61–0.85)	0.61 (0.46–0.77)	0.77 (0.62–0.92)
SIRS	0.73 (0.61–0.85)	0.61 (0.46–0.76)	0.76 (0.64–0.88)
APACHE II	0.88 (0.79–0.97)	0.68 (0.58–0.83)	0.86 (0.77–0.95)
BISAP	0.80 (0.71–0.91)	0.61 (0.47–0.72)	0.83 (0.69–0.97)
IL-6	0.90 (0.81–0.99)	0.86 (0.77–0.94)	0.80 (0.69–0.91)
CRP	0.91 (0.83–0.99)	0.90 (0.82–0.97)	0.75 (0.63–0.88)
CTSI	0.66 (0.53–0.79)	0.75 (0.59–0.91)	0.57 (0.35–0.78)

MOSS: multiple organ system score, APACHE II: acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, SIRS: systemic inflammatory response syndrome, BISAP: bedside index for severe acute pancreatitis, IL-6: interleukin 6, CRP: C-reactive protein, and CTSI: CT severity index.