Research Article

Comparison of Ranson, Glasgow, MOSS, SIRS, BISAP, APACHE-II, CTSI Scores, IL-6, CRP, and Procalcitonin in Predicting Severity, Organ Failure, Pancreatic Necrosis, and Mortality in Acute Pancreatitis

Table 4

Incidence of SAP, OF, PNec, ICUA, and mortality stratified by Ranson, Glasgow, MOSS, APACHE II, SIRS, BISAP scores, Procalcitonin, IL-6, and CRP.

MarkersNo. (%)%SAP %OF %PNec %ICUA %MORT LOHS (days)

Ranson
 <337 (51.4)13.5 (5)5.4 (2)13.5 (5)2.7 (1)0 (0)8.24
 ≥335 (48.6)74.3 (26)65.7 (23)34.3 (12)22.9 (8)25.7 (9)12.08
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
Glasgow
 <341 (56.9)22.0 (9)14.6 (6)14.6 (6)2.4 (1)0 (0)8.14
 ≥331 (43.1)71.0 (22)61.3 (19)35.5 (11)25.8 (8)29.0 (9)12.7
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
MOSS
 <530 (41.7)23.3 (7)13.3 (4)16.7 (5)0 (0)0 (0)8.5
 ≥542 (58.3)57.1 (24)50.0 (21)28.6 (12)21.4 (9)21.4 (9)11.23
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
APACHE II
 <840 (55.6)15.0 (6)2.5 (1)15.0 (6)2.5 (1)0 (0)8.22
 ≥832 (44.4)78.1 (25)75.0 (24)34.4 (11)25.0 (8)28.1 (9)12.48
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
SIRS
 Absent33 (45.8)18.2 (6)12.1 (4)15.2 (5)0 (0)0 (0)7.84
 Present39 (54.2)64.1 (25)53.8 (21)30.8 (12)23.1 (9)23.1 (9)12.02
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
BISAP
 <236 (50)22.2 (8)13.9 (5)19.4 (7)5.6 (2)2.7 (1)7.5
 ≥236 (50)63.9 (23)55.6 (20)27.8 (10)19.4 (7)22.8 (8)10.2
 Total72 (100)43.1 (31)34.7 (25)23.6 (17)12.5 (9)12.5 (9)10.1
CTSI
 <523 (42.6)39.1 (9)34.8 (8)17.4 (4)13.0 (3)8.7 (2)8.6
 ≥531 (57.4)54.8 (17)41.9 (13)38.7 (12)12.9 (4)16.1 (5)11.22
 Total54 (100)48.1 (26)38.9 (21)29.6 (16)13.5 (7)13.5 (7)9.91
Procalcitonin
 <0.5 ng/mL18 (42.9)16.7 (3)0 (0)16.7 (3)5.6 (1)0 (0)9.19
 >0.5 ng/mL24 (57.1)79.7 (19)70.8 (17)45.8 (11)20.8 (5)29.2 (7)11.5
 Total42 (100)52.4 (22)40.5 (17)33.3 (14)14.3 (6)16.7 (7)10.92
IL-6
 <50 pg/mL32 (53.3)6.2 (2)3.1 (1)3.1 (1)3.1 (1)0 (0)7.68
 ≥50 pg/mL28 (46.7)96.4 (27)78.6 (22)57.1 (16)25.0 (7)32.1 (9)13.7
 Total60 (100)48.3 (29)38.3 (23)23.6 (17)13.3 (8)12.5 (9)10.69
CRP
 <150 mg/L35 (58.3)11.4 (4)11.4 (4)0 (0)5.7 (2)8.6 (3)8.54
 ≥150 mg/L25 (41.7)100 (25)76.0 (19)68.0 (17)24.0 (6)24.0 (6)13.28
 Total60 (100)48.3 (29)38.3 (23)23.6 (17)13.3 (8)12.5 (9)10.91

SAP: severe acute pancreatitis, OF: organ failure, PNec: pancreatic necrosis, ICUA: intensive care unit admission, LOHS: length of hospital stay, MOSS: multiple organ system score, APACHE II: acute physiology and chronic health evaluation II, SIRS: systemic inflammatory response syndrome, BISAP: bedside index for severe acute pancreatitis, IL-6: interleukin 6, CRP: C-reactive protein, and CTSI: CT severity index.