An Approach to Mathematical Modeling and Estimation of Probe-Drogue Docking Success Probability for UAV Autonomous Aerial Refueling

Figure 10

Visualized comparison between the flight test results of NASA AAR demonstration [21] and the theoretical analysis proposed in this paper for the probe-drogue docking success rate/probability. (a) Left view of the drogue and value, corresponding to a 90 percent probe-drogue docking success rate in the flight test of NASA AAR demonstration [21]. (b) Main view of the drogue and value, corresponding to larger than 89.44 percent probe-drogue docking success probability in the theoretical analysis proposed in this paper.