(a) Influence of recent transmission success rate on the success probability of next transmission. A label of stands for successes during the last transmissions, and is a shorthand for . CPDF() is the probability of the next transmission being successful

(b) Influence of recent transmission failure rate on the success probability of next transmission. A label of stands for failures during the last transmissions, and is a shorthand for . CPDF() is the probability of the next transmission being successful

Figure 2: Influence of success and failure of recent transmissions events on short-term link quality.