Assessing a Bayesian Approach for Detecting Exotic Hybrids between Plantation and Native Eucalypts

Table 3

The overall accuracy of assignment of simulated parental and hybrid individuals and pedigreed hybrids between Eucalyptus globulus and five other species, based on Bayesian cluster analysis using 𝑞>0.2 to identify hybrid individuals (see Supplementary Material 1 for more detail). Each simulated generation consisted of 50 individuals.

Model combination	Generation	Accuracy (%)
E. camaldulensis × globulus	Simulated E. globulus	100
	Simulated E. camaldulensis	98
	Simulated 𝐹1	100
	Simulated 𝐹2	90
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏	80
	Simulated BC𝑐𝑎𝑚𝑎𝑙	60
	Pedigreed 𝐹1 (n = 2)	100
E. cypellocarpa × globulus	Simulated E. globulus	72
	Simulated E. cypellocarpa	70
	Simulated 𝐹1	98
	Simulated 𝐹2	100
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏	84
	Simulated BC𝑐𝑦𝑝𝑒𝑙	80
E. nitens × globulus	Simulated E. globulus	98
	Simulated E. nitens	98
	Simulated 𝐹1	100
	Simulated 𝐹2	88
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏	66
	Simulated BC𝑛𝑖𝑡	68
	Pedigreed 𝐹1 (n = 12)	91.7
	Pedigreed 𝐹2 (n = 4)	100
	Pedigreed BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏 (n = 12)	33.4
E. ovata × globulus	Simulated E. globulus	98
	Simulated E. ovata	100
	Simulated 𝐹1	94
	Simulated 𝐹2	98
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏	72
	Simulated BC𝑜𝑣𝑎	74
	Pedigreed 𝐹1 (n = 2)	100
E. viminalis × globulus	Simulated E. globulus	88
	Simulated E. viminalis	88
	Simulated 𝐹1	100
	Simulated 𝐹2	90
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏	78
	Simulated BC𝑣𝑖𝑚	76
	Pedigreed 𝐹1 (n = 3)	100
Generation means	Simulated E. globulus	91
	Simulated parent-2	91
	Simulated 𝐹1	98
	Simulated 𝐹2	93
	Simulated BC𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑢𝑙𝑢𝑠	77
	Simulated BCparent-2	71
	Pedigreed 𝐹1 (n = 19)	98