Population Change and Its Driving Factors in Rural, Suburban, and Urban Areas of Wisconsin, USA, 1970–2000
Table 3
Spatial lag models of population change in 1970–1980, 1980–1990, and 1990–2000.
1970–1980
1980–1990
1990–2000
Indices
Demographics 1
−0.052*
0.098***
0.032
Demographics 2
−0.094***
0.058*
−0.083**
Livability 1
0.042
0.183***
0.114***
Livability 2
0.037
0.173***
0.146***
Livability 3
−0.157***
0.082**
0.268***
Accessibility 1
0.054*
0.010
0.036
Accessibility 2
−0.014
−0.028
−0.005
Desirability 1
0.095**
0.050
−0.055
Desirability 2
−0.102***
−0.018
0.014
Desirability 3
−0.044
−0.006
−0.012
Developability
0.075*
0.103***
0.084**
Spatial lag
0.327***
0.267***
0.290***
Measures of fit
Log likelihood
−2432.660
−2454.770
−2438.580
AIC
4891.320
4935.540
4903.170
BIC
4963.020
5007.250
4974.870
Notes: AIC = Akaike’s Information Criterion. BIC = Schwartz’s Bayesian Information Criterion. ; ; . The coefficients displayed have been standardized in order to compare the relative importance of each variable to other variables within each model and to the variable itself across the three models.
