Epidemic Percolation Networks, Epidemic Outcomes, and Interventions
Figure 3
Major epidemic probabilities and attack rates in network-based models from Section 3.2. Lines represent theoretical predictions based on EPNs and symbols represent observed probabilities and attack rates in simulations. The observed probability of a major epidemic is based on 1,000 runs of each model, where a major epidemic was defined as having a final size ≥250. The observed attack rate is based on a single major epidemic. All models have a population of size 50,000 and an Erdős-Rényi contact network with mean degree 5. The predicted probability and attack rate of a major epidemic are equal only when the infectious period is fixed.
