Table 10: Total effect of sugarcane sector expansion on real per capita GDP (in $ of 2008), assuming that sugarcane expansion occurs exclusively in substitution to other crops.

Expansion of the sugarcane cultivated area (in percentage points of the municipal area)
0102030405060708090100

Contemporaneous2722.372347.801973.231598.671224.10849.53474.96100.39−274.17−648.74−1023.31
Years forward
 14950.854269.703588.552907.392226.241545.09863.93182.78−498.37−1179.52−1860.68
 26775.045842.894910.733978.573046.412114.251182.09249.93−682.22−1614.38−2546.54
 38268.307130.685993.074855.463717.852580.231442.62305.01−832.60−1970.21−3107.83
 49490.648184.916879.195573.464267.732962.011656.28350.55−955.17−2260.90−3566.63
 510 491.239047.847604.446161.054717.663274.261830.87387.48−1055.92−2499.31−3942.70
 611 310.299754.198198.086641.985085.873529.771973.67417.56−1138.54−2694.64−4250.75
 711 980.7610 332.378683.987035.605387.213738.822090.43442.04−1206.34−2854.73−4503.12
 812 529.5910 805.759081.917358.075634.223910.382186.54462.70−1261.14−2984.98−4708.83
 912 978.8611 193.159407.457621.745836.044050.332264.63478.92−1306.78−3092.49−4878.19
 1013 346.6211 510.369674.107837.856001.594165.332329.08492.82−1343.44−3179.69−5015.95

Source: research results.
Effects calculated with the combination of the results shown in Table 9.