Table 7: Impact on real per capita GDP (in $ of 2008) of a 10 p.p. permanent increase in the share of sugarcane relative to the municipal area given over to agriculture.

Average municipal effect Accumulated average municipal effect
DirectIndirectDirectIndirect

Contemporaneous61.91−29.1061.91−29.10
Years forward
 130.55−22.4892.45−51.57
 214.16−17.68106.61−69.25
 35.78−14.08112.39−83.33
 41.64−11.32114.03−94.65
 5−0.28−9.16113.74−103.81
 6−1.07−7.44112.67−111.25
 7−1.30−6.07111.37−117.32
 8−1.27−4.95110.09−122.26
 9−1.13−4.04108.97−126.31
 10−0.96−3.31108.01−129.62

Source: research results.
Indirect effects were divided by 15 in order to turn the results comparable at the municipal level.