Table 10: Case 3 results.

EconomicFinancial
NPVIRR (nominal) NPVIRR (nominal)

Expected value$84,252,474 12.6%1.24$80,672,958 14.2%1.42
Standard deviation$100,675,911 3.1%0.29$76,305,318 3.8%0.40
Max$447,048,535 22.7%2.30$349,991,319 26.4%2.81
Min($268,437,824)−5.0%0.22($190,303,825)−8.1%0.01
Probability of loss20.7%14.5%