Table 11: Case 4 results.

EconomicFinancial
NPVIRR (nominal) NPVIRR (nominal)

Expected value$0 10.0%1.00$16,641,078 11.0%1.09
Standard deviation$20,684,124 0.7%0.06$15,051,080 0.9%0.08
Max$79,292,123 12.9%1.23$73,091,401 14.5%1.38
Min($86,537,333)6.8%0.75($43,554,644)7.3%0.77
Probability of loss50.2%13.2%