Research Article

The Czech Republic SimSmoke: The Effect of Tobacco Control Policies on Smoking Prevalence and Smoking Attributable Deaths in the Czech Republic

Table 3

Smoking attributable deaths, Czech Republic, 2010–2040.

Policy/year2010202020302040Cumul.

Status quo policies21,88526,79027,47524,172781,152

Independent policies implemented in 2010
 Tax 70% of retail price (w/adjustment for VAT)21,88526,40726,56823,130762,144
 Complete smoke free and enforcement21,88526,07125,89522,627748,629
 Comprehensive Ad ban and enforcement21,88526,53526,92523,643769,805
 High intensity tobacco control campaign21,88526,18326,09922,786752,840
 Strong health warnings21,88526,74527,34824,006778,515
 Strong youth access enforcement21,88526,79027,46624,079780,664
 Cessation treatment policies21,88526,38326,36622,796758,275
 All of the above21,88524,46222,00118,297668,130

Absolute change in attributable deaths from status quo (lives saved)
 Tax 70% of retail price (w/adjustment for VAT)3839071,04219,008
 Complete smoke free and enforcement7191,5801,54432,524
 Comprehensive Ad ban and enforcement25555052811,348
 High intensity tobacco control campaign6071,3771,38628,313
 Strong health warnings451271662,638
 Strong youth access enforcement0992489
 Cessation treatment policies4071,1091,37522,877

Combined policy effects
 All of the above2,3285,4745,874113,023